M. Kecmanovic vs J. Mensik prediction
The prediction, computed before the match
Correct prediction- Model favourite
- J. Mensik
- Probability
- 74 %
- Predicted score
- 0-2
- Exact score
- Actual score
- 0-2 · J. Mensik
Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.
- 2097
- Elo
- 2268
- 1958
- Elo on hard court
- 2174
- 4 / 10
- Form (last 10)
- 5 / 10
- 2
- Recent matches
- 3
- –
- Head-to-head
- Edge
- 3.44
- Odds
- 1.30
Form and record before the match
Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent
- L
- W
- L
- W
- L
- L
- W
- L
- L
- W
- W
- L
- W
- W
- L
- L
- W
- L
- W
- L
- 4 – 6
- Wins – losses
- 5 – 5
- 12 – 14
- Sets won – lost
- 16 – 13
- 1 win
- Current streak
- 1 loss
- 22-26 (46%)
- 2026 record
- 34-19 (64%)
- 90-96 (48%)
- Record on hard court
- 90-49 (65%)
ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by M. Kecmanovic and J. Mensik, before this match.
What the numbers said before the match
J. Mensik comes in with an Elo of 2268, against 2097 for M. Kecmanovic: a 171-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 216 points in favour of J. Mensik. M. Kecmanovic won 4 of the last ten matches, J. Mensik won 5. M. Kecmanovic has 2 wins in the last five matches. J. Mensik has 2 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, J. Mensik leads 2 to 0 in their direct meetings. Bookmakers make J. Mensik the favourite.
The model gave J. Mensik the win at 74 %, with a likely score of 2-0. J. Mensik won 2-0: prediction correct.
Recent matches
M. Kecmanovic's last five matches
- VS. ShimabukuroShanghai 2026 · Round of 128 · 7 October 20266-2 6-4
- DA. MannarinoBeijing 2026 · Qualifying · 28 September 20266-7 6-3 6-7
- DN. BasilashviliChengdu 2026 · Round of 32 · 24 September 20266-7 4-6
- VE. ButvilasATP Davis Cup - World Group I 2026 · 19 September 20267-5 1-6 7-5
- DD. ShapovalovUS Open 2026 · Round of 128 · 30 August 20264-6 6-4 4-6 1-6
J. Mensik's last five matches
- DF. CerundoloBeijing 2026 · Round of 16 · 3 October 20263-6 3-6
- VA. BublikBeijing 2026 · Round of 32 · 1 October 20266-4 7-6
- DB. NakashimaATP Laver Cup 2026 · 25 September 20261-6 6-3 7-10
- VB. SheltonATP Davis Cup - World Group 2026 · 19 September 20265-7 6-4 6-3
- DL. TienATP Davis Cup - World Group 2026 · 18 September 20262-6 4-6
Head-to-head since 2020
J. Mensik leads 2 to 0- DJ. MensikBeijing 2025 · Round of 32 · 26 September 20255-7 4-6
- DJ. MensikATP Vienna 2024 · Round of 16 · 24 October 20243-6 6-7
Road through the tournament
To reach this round, M. Kecmanovic beat S. Shimabukuro (6-2 6-4). This is J. Mensik's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by V. Vacherot, who beat A. Rinderknech in the final (4-6 6-3 6-3).
Key numbers
In tie-breaks, M. Kecmanovic wins 45 % (71 of 158), J. Mensik 60 % (67 of 112). In deciding sets, M. Kecmanovic wins 41 % of the time (122 matches), J. Mensik 52 % (89 matches). After losing the first set, M. Kecmanovic turned 21 % of matches around (131 occasions), J. Mensik 21 % (77 occasions). After winning the first set, M. Kecmanovic went on to win 72 % of matches, J. Mensik 83 %.
Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.
Frequently asked questions about M. Kecmanovic – J. Mensik
- Who is the favourite between M. Kecmanovic and J. Mensik?
- The match is over: J. Mensik won 2-0. Bookmakers make J. Mensik the favourite, priced at 1.30 against 3.44 for M. Kecmanovic. Pronocast's model had J. Mensik winning at 74 %.
- When is the M. Kecmanovic – J. Mensik match?
- On Friday, 9 October 2026 at 11:35, at the Shanghai tournament (Round of 64, hard court).
- What is the head-to-head between M. Kecmanovic and J. Mensik?
- Since 2020, J. Mensik leads 2 to 0 in their direct meetings.
- Where can I see the prediction for M. Kecmanovic – J. Mensik?
- The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.
How the model computes its predictions
Same tournament: Shanghai
Tournament page

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