M. Kecmanovic vs J. Mensik prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
M. KecmanovicJ. Mensik
25.6 %74.4 %
Model favourite
J. Mensik
Probability
74 %
Predicted score
0-2
Exact score
Actual score
0-2 · J. Mensik

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

ATPShanghaiRound of 64hard court11:35
vs
J. Mensik
J. Mensik
2097
Elo
2268
1958
Elo on hard court
2174
4 / 10
Form (last 10)
5 / 10
2
Recent matches
3
–
Head-to-head
Edge
3.44
Odds
1.30

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

M. Kecmanovic
  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. L
  6. L
  7. W
  8. L
  9. L
  10. W
J. Mensik
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
  6. L
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. L
4 – 6
Wins – losses
5 – 5
12 – 14
Sets won – lost
16 – 13
1 win
Current streak
1 loss
22-26 (46%)
2026 record
34-19 (64%)
90-96 (48%)
Record on hard court
90-49 (65%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by M. Kecmanovic and J. Mensik, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

J. Mensik comes in with an Elo of 2268, against 2097 for M. Kecmanovic: a 171-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 216 points in favour of J. Mensik. M. Kecmanovic won 4 of the last ten matches, J. Mensik won 5. M. Kecmanovic has 2 wins in the last five matches. J. Mensik has 2 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, J. Mensik leads 2 to 0 in their direct meetings. Bookmakers make J. Mensik the favourite.

The model gave J. Mensik the win at 74 %, with a likely score of 2-0. J. Mensik won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

M. Kecmanovic's last five matches

J. Mensik's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

J. Mensik leads 2 to 0

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, M. Kecmanovic beat S. Shimabukuro (6-2 6-4). This is J. Mensik's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by V. Vacherot, who beat A. Rinderknech in the final (4-6 6-3 6-3).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, M. Kecmanovic wins 45 % (71 of 158), J. Mensik 60 % (67 of 112). In deciding sets, M. Kecmanovic wins 41 % of the time (122 matches), J. Mensik 52 % (89 matches). After losing the first set, M. Kecmanovic turned 21 % of matches around (131 occasions), J. Mensik 21 % (77 occasions). After winning the first set, M. Kecmanovic went on to win 72 % of matches, J. Mensik 83 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about M. Kecmanovic – J. Mensik

Who is the favourite between M. Kecmanovic and J. Mensik?
The match is over: J. Mensik won 2-0. Bookmakers make J. Mensik the favourite, priced at 1.30 against 3.44 for M. Kecmanovic. Pronocast's model had J. Mensik winning at 74 %.
When is the M. Kecmanovic – J. Mensik match?
On Friday, 9 October 2026 at 11:35, at the Shanghai tournament (Round of 64, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between M. Kecmanovic and J. Mensik?
Since 2020, J. Mensik leads 2 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for M. Kecmanovic – J. Mensik?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Shanghai

Tournament page

Other matches on 9 October 2026

All matches on 9 October 2026