Pronocast
ProductPredictionsPricing
Create account

M. Lajal vs L. Poullain prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
M. LajalL. Poullain
77.1 %22.9 %
Model favourite
M. Lajal
Probability
77 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
1-2 · L. Poullain

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerMouilleron-Le-CaptifRound of 32hard court17:50
M. Lajal
M. Lajal
vs
L. Poullain
L. Poullain
2078
Elo
1831
2025
Elo on hard court
1829
7 / 10
Form (last 10)
6 / 10
3
Recent matches
2
Edge
Head-to-head
–
1.20
Odds
3.50

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

M. Lajal
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. L
L. Poullain
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. L
  9. W
  10. L
7 – 3
Wins – losses
7 – 3
14 – 7
Sets won – lost
14 – 8
1 loss
Current streak
1 loss
38-22 (63%)
2026 record
20-11 (65%)
128-82 (61%)
Record on hard court
60-54 (53%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by M. Lajal and L. Poullain, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

M. Lajal comes in with an Elo of 2078, against 1831 for L. Poullain: a 248-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 197 points in favour of M. Lajal. M. Lajal won 7 of the last ten matches, L. Poullain won 6. M. Lajal has 3 wins in the last five matches. L. Poullain has 2 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, M. Lajal leads 2 to 0 in their direct meetings. Bookmakers make M. Lajal the favourite.

The model gave M. Lajal the win at 77 %, with a likely score of 2-0. L. Poullain won 2-1: prediction missed.

Recent matches

M. Lajal's last five matches

L. Poullain's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

M. Lajal leads 2 to 0

Road through the tournament

This is M. Lajal's first match of the tournament. This is L. Poullain's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by N. Budkov Kjaer, who beat P. Kypson in the final (6-0 6-3).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, M. Lajal wins 55 % (60 of 110), L. Poullain 61 % (20 of 33). In deciding sets, M. Lajal wins 51 % of the time (99 matches), L. Poullain 45 % (31 matches). After losing the first set, M. Lajal turned 27 % of matches around (106 occasions), L. Poullain 19 % (58 occasions). After winning the first set, M. Lajal went on to win 82 % of matches, L. Poullain 85 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about M. Lajal – L. Poullain

Who is the favourite between M. Lajal and L. Poullain?
The match is over: L. Poullain won 2-1. Bookmakers make M. Lajal the favourite, priced at 1.20 against 3.50 for L. Poullain. Pronocast's model had M. Lajal winning at 77 %.
When is the M. Lajal – L. Poullain match?
On Tuesday, 29 September 2026 at 17:50, at the Mouilleron-Le-Captif tournament (Round of 32, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between M. Lajal and L. Poullain?
Since 2020, M. Lajal leads 2 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for M. Lajal – L. Poullain?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Mouilleron-Le-Captif

Tournament page

Other matches on 29 September 2026

All matches on 29 September 2026