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J. Brooksby vs L. Sonego prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
J. BrooksbyL. Sonego
52.6 %47.4 %
Model favourite
J. Brooksby
Probability
53 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
2-1 · J. Brooksby

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

ATPChengduRound of 16hard court07:15
J. Brooksby
J. Brooksby
vs
L. Sonego
L. Sonego
2084
Elo
2082
1987
Elo on hard court
2035
5 / 10
Form (last 10)
4 / 10
1
Recent matches
1
Even
Head-to-head
Even
1.68
Odds
1.99

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

J. Brooksby
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. L
  6. L
  7. W
  8. L
  9. L
  10. W
L. Sonego
  1. L
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. L
  9. L
  10. W
5 – 5
Wins – losses
4 – 6
12 – 11
Sets won – lost
11 – 14
1 win
Current streak
1 win
13-22 (37%)
2026 record
13-18 (42%)
72-48 (60%)
Record on hard court
79-86 (48%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by J. Brooksby and L. Sonego, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

Both players come in with almost the same Elo (2084 against 2082): nothing separates them in the model's rating. On hard court, the gap is 49 points in favour of L. Sonego. J. Brooksby won 5 of the last ten matches, L. Sonego won 4. J. Brooksby has 2 wins in the last five matches. L. Sonego has 2 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make J. Brooksby the favourite.

The model gave J. Brooksby the win at 53 %, with a likely score of 2-0. J. Brooksby won 2-1: prediction correct.

Recent matches

J. Brooksby's last five matches

L. Sonego's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, J. Brooksby beat S. Baez (7-5 7-5). To reach this round, L. Sonego beat J. Duckworth (6-4 6-4). In 2025, the tournament was won by A. Tabilo, who beat L. Musetti in the final (6-3 2-6 7-6).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, J. Brooksby wins 58 % (28 of 48), L. Sonego 53 % (78 of 147). In deciding sets, J. Brooksby wins 64 % of the time (44 matches), L. Sonego 46 % (101 matches). After losing the first set, J. Brooksby turned 19 % of matches around (81 occasions), L. Sonego 21 % (147 occasions). After winning the first set, J. Brooksby went on to win 91 % of matches, L. Sonego 76 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about J. Brooksby – L. Sonego

Who is the favourite between J. Brooksby and L. Sonego?
The match is over: J. Brooksby won 2-1. Bookmakers make J. Brooksby the favourite, priced at 1.68 against 1.99 for L. Sonego. Pronocast's model had J. Brooksby winning at 53 %.
When is the J. Brooksby – L. Sonego match?
On Friday, 25 September 2026 at 07:15, at the Chengdu tournament (Round of 16, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between J. Brooksby and L. Sonego?
No meeting between J. Brooksby and L. Sonego appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for J. Brooksby – L. Sonego?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Chengdu

Tournament page

Other matches on 25 September 2026

All matches on 25 September 2026