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E. Mertens vs M. Chwalinska prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
E. MertensM. Chwalinska
67.7 %32.3 %
Model favourite
E. Mertens
Probability
68 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
0-2 · M. Chwalinska

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

WTASingaporeQuarter-finalhard court07:10
E. Mertens
E. Mertens
vs
M. Chwalinska
M. Chwalinska
2296
Elo
2214
2156
Elo on hard court
1983
6 / 10
Form (last 10)
4 / 10
0
Recent matches
2
–
Head-to-head
Edge
1.47
Odds
2.93

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

E. Mertens
  1. W
  2. L
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. L
M. Chwalinska
  1. W
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W
  6. L
  7. L
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
6 – 4
Wins – losses
4 – 6
15 – 11
Sets won – lost
10 – 12
1 loss
Current streak
2 wins
29-18 (62%)
2026 record
30-13 (70%)
115-76 (60%)
Record on hard court
23-16 (59%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by E. Mertens and M. Chwalinska, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

E. Mertens comes in with an Elo of 2296, against 2214 for M. Chwalinska: a 82-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 172 points in favour of E. Mertens. E. Mertens won 6 of the last ten matches, M. Chwalinska won 4. E. Mertens has 3 wins in the last five matches. M. Chwalinska has 2 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, M. Chwalinska leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings. Bookmakers make E. Mertens the favourite.

The model gave E. Mertens the win at 68 %, with a likely score of 2-0. M. Chwalinska won 2-0: prediction missed.

Recent matches

E. Mertens's last five matches

M. Chwalinska's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

M. Chwalinska leads 1 to 0

Road through the tournament

This is E. Mertens's first match of the tournament. To reach this round, M. Chwalinska beat R. Sramkova (6-4 6-2), then O. Oliynykova (6-0 6-1). In 2025, the tournament was won by E. Mertens, who beat A. Li in the final (6-1 6-4). E. Mertens is therefore defending the title.

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, E. Mertens wins 53 % (31 of 58), M. Chwalinska 53 % (16 of 30). In deciding sets, E. Mertens wins 49 % of the time (84 matches), M. Chwalinska 53 % (45 matches). After losing the first set, E. Mertens turned 23 % of matches around (117 occasions), M. Chwalinska 24 % (46 occasions). After winning the first set, E. Mertens went on to win 85 % of matches, M. Chwalinska 84 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about E. Mertens – M. Chwalinska

Who is the favourite between E. Mertens and M. Chwalinska?
The match is over: M. Chwalinska won 2-0. Bookmakers make E. Mertens the favourite, priced at 1.47 against 2.93 for M. Chwalinska. Pronocast's model had E. Mertens winning at 68 %.
When is the E. Mertens – M. Chwalinska match?
On Friday, 25 September 2026 at 07:10, at the Singapore tournament (Quarter-final, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between E. Mertens and M. Chwalinska?
Since 2020, M. Chwalinska leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for E. Mertens – M. Chwalinska?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Singapore

Tournament page

Other matches on 25 September 2026

All matches on 25 September 2026