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V. Kopriva vs D. Shapovalov prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
V. KoprivaD. Shapovalov
24.2 %75.8 %
Model favourite
D. Shapovalov
Probability
76 %
Predicted score
0-2
Exact score
Actual score
0-2 · D. Shapovalov

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

ATPChengduRound of 16hard court07:10
V. Kopriva
V. Kopriva
vs
D. Shapovalov
D. Shapovalov
2056
Elo
2191
1950
Elo on hard court
2182
3 / 10
Form (last 10)
7 / 10
1
Recent matches
1
Even
Head-to-head
Even
3.70
Odds
1.18

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

V. Kopriva
  1. L
  2. L
  3. L
  4. W
  5. L
  6. L
  7. W
  8. L
  9. L
  10. W
D. Shapovalov
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
3 – 7
Wins – losses
7 – 3
7 – 16
Sets won – lost
18 – 9
1 win
Current streak
1 win
23-25 (48%)
2026 record
17-16 (52%)
56-57 (50%)
Record on hard court
93-69 (57%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by V. Kopriva and D. Shapovalov, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

D. Shapovalov comes in with an Elo of 2191, against 2056 for V. Kopriva: a 135-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 231 points in favour of D. Shapovalov. V. Kopriva won 3 of the last ten matches, D. Shapovalov won 7. V. Kopriva has 2 wins in the last five matches. D. Shapovalov has 3 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, V. Kopriva leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings. Bookmakers make D. Shapovalov the favourite.

The model gave D. Shapovalov the win at 76 %, with a likely score of 2-0. D. Shapovalov won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

V. Kopriva's last five matches

D. Shapovalov's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

V. Kopriva leads 1 to 0

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, V. Kopriva beat J. Hu (6-4 7-5). To reach this round, D. Shapovalov beat T. Griekspoor (6-4 7-6). In 2025, the tournament was won by A. Tabilo, who beat L. Musetti in the final (6-3 2-6 7-6).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, V. Kopriva wins 52 % (47 of 91), D. Shapovalov 51 % (61 of 119). In deciding sets, V. Kopriva wins 59 % of the time (128 matches), D. Shapovalov 49 % (81 matches). After losing the first set, V. Kopriva turned 24 % of matches around (169 occasions), D. Shapovalov 18 % (112 occasions). After winning the first set, V. Kopriva went on to win 86 % of matches, D. Shapovalov 85 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about V. Kopriva – D. Shapovalov

Who is the favourite between V. Kopriva and D. Shapovalov?
The match is over: D. Shapovalov won 2-0. Bookmakers make D. Shapovalov the favourite, priced at 1.18 against 3.70 for V. Kopriva. Pronocast's model had D. Shapovalov winning at 76 %.
When is the V. Kopriva – D. Shapovalov match?
On Friday, 25 September 2026 at 07:10, at the Chengdu tournament (Round of 16, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between V. Kopriva and D. Shapovalov?
Since 2020, V. Kopriva leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for V. Kopriva – D. Shapovalov?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Chengdu

Tournament page

Other matches on 25 September 2026

All matches on 25 September 2026