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M. Zheng vs N. Mejia prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
M. ZhengN. Mejia
81.1 %18.9 %
Model favourite
M. Zheng
Probability
81 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
0-2 · N. Mejia

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

ATPShanghaiQualifyinghard court07:55
M. Zheng
M. Zheng
vs
N. Mejia
N. Mejia
2137
Elo
1985
2065
Elo on hard court
1823
6 / 10
Form (last 10)
4 / 10
4
Recent matches
0
Edge
Head-to-head
–
1.19
Odds
4.27

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

M. Zheng
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
N. Mejia
  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. L
  9. L
  10. L
6 – 4
Wins – losses
4 – 6
15 – 12
Sets won – lost
9 – 16
1 win
Current streak
4 losses
31-16 (66%)
2026 record
31-23 (57%)
62-29 (68%)
Record on hard court
76-96 (44%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by M. Zheng and N. Mejia, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

M. Zheng comes in with an Elo of 2137, against 1985 for N. Mejia: a 152-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 242 points in favour of M. Zheng. M. Zheng won 6 of the last ten matches, N. Mejia won 4. M. Zheng has 2 wins in the last five matches. N. Mejia has one win in the last five matches. Since 2020, M. Zheng leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings. Bookmakers make M. Zheng the favourite.

The model gave M. Zheng the win at 81 %, with a likely score of 2-0. N. Mejia won 2-0: prediction missed.

Recent matches

M. Zheng's last five matches

N. Mejia's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

M. Zheng leads 1 to 0

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, M. Zheng beat F. A. Gomez (6-7 6-3 6-3). This is N. Mejia's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by V. Vacherot, who beat A. Rinderknech in the final (4-6 6-3 6-3).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, M. Zheng wins 39 % (14 of 36), N. Mejia 51 % (66 of 130). In deciding sets, M. Zheng wins 58 % of the time (31 matches), N. Mejia 53 % (105 matches). After losing the first set, M. Zheng turned 29 % of matches around (42 occasions), N. Mejia 14 % (160 occasions). After winning the first set, M. Zheng went on to win 91 % of matches, N. Mejia 85 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about M. Zheng – N. Mejia

Who is the favourite between M. Zheng and N. Mejia?
The match is over: N. Mejia won 2-0. Bookmakers make M. Zheng the favourite, priced at 1.19 against 4.27 for N. Mejia. Pronocast's model had M. Zheng winning at 81 %.
When is the M. Zheng – N. Mejia match?
On Tuesday, 6 October 2026 at 07:55, at the Shanghai tournament (Qualifying, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between M. Zheng and N. Mejia?
Since 2020, M. Zheng leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for M. Zheng – N. Mejia?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Shanghai

Tournament page

Other matches on 6 October 2026

All matches on 6 October 2026