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N. Djokovic vs H. Hurkacz prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
N. DjokovicH. Hurkacz
64.4 %35.6 %
Model favourite
N. Djokovic
Probability
64 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
0-2 · H. Hurkacz

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

ATPShanghaiRound of 64hard court12:10
N. Djokovic
N. Djokovic
vs
H. Hurkacz
H. Hurkacz
2466
Elo
2336
2364
Elo on hard court
2205
7 / 10
Form (last 10)
8 / 10
3
Recent matches
8
Edge
Head-to-head
–
1.50
Odds
2.59

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

N. Djokovic
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
  6. L
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
H. Hurkacz
  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
7 – 3
Wins – losses
8 – 2
21 – 14
Sets won – lost
17 – 9
3 wins
Current streak
4 wins
16-7 (70%)
2026 record
33-19 (63%)
116-22 (84%)
Record on hard court
128-76 (63%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by N. Djokovic and H. Hurkacz, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

N. Djokovic comes in with an Elo of 2466, against 2336 for H. Hurkacz: a 130-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 159 points in favour of N. Djokovic. N. Djokovic won 7 of the last ten matches, H. Hurkacz won 8. N. Djokovic has 3 wins in the last five matches. H. Hurkacz has 4 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, N. Djokovic leads 6 to 0 in their direct meetings. Bookmakers make N. Djokovic the favourite.

The model gave N. Djokovic the win at 64 %, with a likely score of 2-0. H. Hurkacz won 2-0: prediction missed.

Recent matches

N. Djokovic's last five matches

H. Hurkacz's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

N. Djokovic leads 6 to 0

Road through the tournament

This is N. Djokovic's first match of the tournament. To reach this round, H. Hurkacz beat J. Duckworth (6-3 7-6). In 2025, the tournament was won by V. Vacherot, who beat A. Rinderknech in the final (4-6 6-3 6-3).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, N. Djokovic wins 68 % (84 of 123), H. Hurkacz 54 % (128 of 239). In deciding sets, N. Djokovic wins 64 % of the time (58 matches), H. Hurkacz 56 % (132 matches). After losing the first set, N. Djokovic turned 52 % of matches around (71 occasions), H. Hurkacz 32 % (114 occasions). After winning the first set, N. Djokovic went on to win 94 % of matches, H. Hurkacz 83 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about N. Djokovic – H. Hurkacz

Who is the favourite between N. Djokovic and H. Hurkacz?
The match is over: H. Hurkacz won 2-0. Bookmakers make N. Djokovic the favourite, priced at 1.50 against 2.59 for H. Hurkacz. Pronocast's model had N. Djokovic winning at 64 %.
When is the N. Djokovic – H. Hurkacz match?
On Friday, 9 October 2026 at 12:10, at the Shanghai tournament (Round of 64, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between N. Djokovic and H. Hurkacz?
Since 2020, N. Djokovic leads 6 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for N. Djokovic – H. Hurkacz?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Shanghai

Tournament page

Other matches on 9 October 2026

All matches on 9 October 2026