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O. Ovcharenko vs P. Basile prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
O. OvcharenkoP. Basile
40.1 %59.9 %
Model favourite
P. Basile
Probability
60 %
Predicted score
0-2
Actual score
1-2 · P. Basile

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerBari (Italy) - QualificationQualifying10:10
O. Ovcharenko
O. Ovcharenko
vs
P. Basile
P. Basile
1748
Elo
1810
7 / 10
Form (last 10)
6 / 10
0
Recent matches
5
Even
Head-to-head
Even
2.20
Odds
1.60

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

O. Ovcharenko
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. L
P. Basile
  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
7 – 3
Wins – losses
6 – 4
14 – 8
Sets won – lost
14 – 10
1 loss
Current streak
1 win
8-5 (62%)
2026 record
8-8 (50%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by O. Ovcharenko and P. Basile, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

P. Basile comes in with an Elo of 1810, against 1748 for O. Ovcharenko: a 62-point edge. O. Ovcharenko won 7 of the last ten matches, P. Basile won 6. O. Ovcharenko has 4 wins in the last five matches. P. Basile has 3 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make P. Basile the favourite.

The model gave P. Basile the win at 60 %, with a likely score of 2-0. P. Basile won 2-1: prediction correct.

Recent matches

O. Ovcharenko's last five matches

P. Basile's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

This is O. Ovcharenko's first match of the tournament. To reach this round, P. Basile beat K. Wehnelt (5-7 6-4 7-6).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, O. Ovcharenko wins 40 % (6 of 15), P. Basile 48 % (10 of 21). In deciding sets, O. Ovcharenko wins 50 % of the time (14 matches), P. Basile 42 % (12 matches). After losing the first set, O. Ovcharenko turned 13 % of matches around (23 occasions), P. Basile 17 % (18 occasions). After winning the first set, O. Ovcharenko went on to win 75 % of matches, P. Basile 78 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about O. Ovcharenko – P. Basile

Who is the favourite between O. Ovcharenko and P. Basile?
The match is over: P. Basile won 2-1. Bookmakers make P. Basile the favourite, priced at 1.60 against 2.20 for O. Ovcharenko. Pronocast's model had P. Basile winning at 60 %.
When is the O. Ovcharenko – P. Basile match?
On Monday, 28 September 2026 at 10:10, at the Bari (Italy) - Qualification tournament (Qualifying, Unknown).
What is the head-to-head between O. Ovcharenko and P. Basile?
No meeting between O. Ovcharenko and P. Basile appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for O. Ovcharenko – P. Basile?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Bari (Italy) - Qualification

Tournament page

Other matches on 28 September 2026

All matches on 28 September 2026