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O. Wallin vs M. Donald prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
O. WallinM. Donald
52.6 %47.4 %
Model favourite
O. Wallin
Probability
53 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
0-2 · M. Donald

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerBari (Italy) - QualificationRound of 3210:10
O. Wallin
O. Wallin
vs
M. Donald
M. Donald
1853
Elo
1816
6 / 10
Form (last 10)
5 / 10
2
Recent matches
4
Edge
Head-to-head
–
1.71
Odds
1.99

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

O. Wallin
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. L
M. Donald
  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. L
  6. L
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
6 – 4
Wins – losses
5 – 5
14 – 11
Sets won – lost
12 – 12
1 loss
Current streak
2 wins
19-12 (61%)
2026 record
15-12 (56%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by O. Wallin and M. Donald, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

O. Wallin comes in with an Elo of 1853, against 1816 for M. Donald: a 36-point edge. O. Wallin won 6 of the last ten matches, M. Donald won 5. O. Wallin has 3 wins in the last five matches. M. Donald has 3 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, O. Wallin leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings. Bookmakers make O. Wallin the favourite.

The model gave O. Wallin the win at 53 %, with a likely score of 2-0. M. Donald won 2-0: prediction missed.

Recent matches

O. Wallin's last five matches

M. Donald's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

O. Wallin leads 1 to 0

Road through the tournament

This is O. Wallin's first match of the tournament. To reach this round, M. Donald beat C. Cordoba (6-1 6-1), then D. Sakellaridis (7-5 7-6).

Key numbers

In deciding sets, O. Wallin wins 67 % of the time (24 matches), M. Donald 50 % (10 matches). After losing the first set, O. Wallin turned 32 % of matches around (34 occasions), M. Donald 18 % (17 occasions). After winning the first set, O. Wallin went on to win 88 % of matches, M. Donald 76 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about O. Wallin – M. Donald

Who is the favourite between O. Wallin and M. Donald?
The match is over: M. Donald won 2-0. Bookmakers make O. Wallin the favourite, priced at 1.71 against 1.99 for M. Donald. Pronocast's model had O. Wallin winning at 53 %.
When is the O. Wallin – M. Donald match?
On Tuesday, 29 September 2026 at 10:10, at the Bari (Italy) - Qualification tournament (Round of 32, Unknown).
What is the head-to-head between O. Wallin and M. Donald?
Since 2020, O. Wallin leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for O. Wallin – M. Donald?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Bari (Italy) - Qualification

Tournament page

Other matches on 29 September 2026

All matches on 29 September 2026