P. Kotov vs A. Vukic prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
P. KotovA. Vukic
57.3 %42.7 %
Model favourite
P. Kotov
Probability
57 %
Predicted score
2-0
Exact score
Actual score
2-0 · P. Kotov

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

ATPShanghaiQualifyinghard court12:20
2026
Elo
2040
2034
Elo on hard court
1991
7 / 10
Form (last 10)
5 / 10
3
Recent matches
3
Even
Head-to-head
Even
1.61
Odds
2.21

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

P. Kotov
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
A. Vukic
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. L
  7. L
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
7 – 3
Wins – losses
5 – 5
14 – 9
Sets won – lost
15 – 12
1 win
Current streak
2 wins
29-10 (74%)
2026 record
25-27 (48%)
98-75 (57%)
Record on hard court
134-112 (54%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by P. Kotov and A. Vukic, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

A. Vukic comes in with an Elo of 2040, against 2026 for P. Kotov: a 15-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 43 points in favour of P. Kotov. P. Kotov won 7 of the last ten matches, A. Vukic won 5. P. Kotov has 3 wins in the last five matches. A. Vukic has 2 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make P. Kotov the favourite.

The model gave P. Kotov the win at 57 %, with a likely score of 2-0. P. Kotov won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

P. Kotov's last five matches

A. Vukic's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, P. Kotov beat M. Damm (7-6 6-7 6-3). To reach this round, A. Vukic beat J. Cui (4-6 7-6 7-6). In 2025, the tournament was won by V. Vacherot, who beat A. Rinderknech in the final (4-6 6-3 6-3).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, P. Kotov wins 55 % (74 of 134), A. Vukic 56 % (108 of 193). In deciding sets, P. Kotov wins 55 % of the time (103 matches), A. Vukic 48 % (126 matches). After losing the first set, P. Kotov turned 24 % of matches around (139 occasions), A. Vukic 15 % (184 occasions). After winning the first set, P. Kotov went on to win 84 % of matches, A. Vukic 88 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about P. Kotov – A. Vukic

Who is the favourite between P. Kotov and A. Vukic?
The match is over: P. Kotov won 2-0. Bookmakers make P. Kotov the favourite, priced at 1.61 against 2.21 for A. Vukic. Pronocast's model had P. Kotov winning at 57 %.
When is the P. Kotov – A. Vukic match?
On Tuesday, 6 October 2026 at 12:20, at the Shanghai tournament (Qualifying, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between P. Kotov and A. Vukic?
No meeting between P. Kotov and A. Vukic appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for P. Kotov – A. Vukic?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Shanghai

Tournament page

Other matches on 6 October 2026

All matches on 6 October 2026