P. Schoen vs M. Alcala Gurri prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction

P. SchoenM. Alcala Gurri

29.6 %70.4 %

Model favourite: M. Alcala Gurri
Probability: 70 %
Predicted score: 0-2; Exact score
Actual score: 0-2 · M. Alcala Gurri

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerBragaRound of 16clay11:10

P. Schoen

M. Alcala Gurri

2008
Elo: 2067; 1854
Elo on clay: 2040; 10 / 10
Form (last 10): 8 / 10; 3
Recent matches: 3; Even
Head-to-head: Even; 2.85
Odds: 1.34

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

P. Schoen

M. Alcala Gurri

5 – 2
Wins – losses: 8 – 2; 10 – 5
Sets won – lost: 17 – 6; 3 wins
Current streak: 8 wins; 5-2 (71%)
2026 record: 29-10 (74%); 5-2 (71%)
Record on clay: 53-38 (58%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by P. Schoen and M. Alcala Gurri, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

M. Alcala Gurri comes in with an Elo of 2067, against 2008 for P. Schoen: a 58-point edge. On clay, the gap is 186 points in favour of M. Alcala Gurri. P. Schoen won 10 of the last ten matches, M. Alcala Gurri won 8. P. Schoen has 4 wins in the last five matches. M. Alcala Gurri has 5 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make M. Alcala Gurri the favourite.

The model gave M. Alcala Gurri the win at 70 %, with a likely score of 2-0. M. Alcala Gurri won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

P. Schoen's last five matches

VA. NedicBraga 2026 · Round of 32 · 7 October 20266-1 7-6
VF. MisolicBraga 2026 · Qualifying · 5 October 20266-1 6-2
VA. Barroso CamposBraga 2026 · Qualifying · 4 October 20266-1 6-3
DF. MenaPorto 2 2026 · Round of 32 · 1 September 20264-6 2-6
VM. FuelePorto 2 2026 · Qualifying · 31 August 20266-4 2-6 6-4

M. Alcala Gurri's last five matches

VD. BlanchBraga 2026 · Round of 32 · 7 October 20266-1 6-2
VJ. ForejtekPlovdiv 4 (Bulgaria) - Qualification 2026 · Final · 27 September 20266-4 6-2
VC. TabernerPlovdiv 4 (Bulgaria) - Qualification 2026 · Semi-final · 26 September 20266-4 6-3
VC. Sanchez JoverPlovdiv 4 (Bulgaria) - Qualification 2026 · Round of 16 · 23 September 20266-3 6-2
VE. CoulibalyPlovdiv 4 (Bulgaria) - Qualification 2026 · Round of 32 · 21 September 20266-4 6-2

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, P. Schoen beat A. Barroso Campos (6-1 6-3), then F. Misolic (6-1 6-2), then A. Nedic (6-1 7-6). To reach this round, M. Alcala Gurri beat D. Blanch (6-1 6-2). In 2025, the tournament was won by L. Mikrut, who beat V. Gaubas in the final (6-3 6-4).

Frequently asked questions about P. Schoen – M. Alcala Gurri

Who is the favourite between P. Schoen and M. Alcala Gurri?: The match is over: M. Alcala Gurri won 2-0. Bookmakers make M. Alcala Gurri the favourite, priced at 1.34 against 2.85 for P. Schoen. Pronocast's model had M. Alcala Gurri winning at 70 %.
When is the P. Schoen – M. Alcala Gurri match?: On Thursday, 8 October 2026 at 11:10, at the Braga tournament (Round of 16, clay).
What is the head-to-head between P. Schoen and M. Alcala Gurri?: No meeting between P. Schoen and M. Alcala Gurri appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for P. Schoen – M. Alcala Gurri?: The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions