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P. Stearns vs E. Arango prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
P. StearnsE. Arango
72.3 %27.7 %
Model favourite
P. Stearns
Probability
72 %
Predicted score
2-0
Exact score
Actual score
2-0 · P. Stearns

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

WTAGuadalajaraRound of 32hard court21:10
P. Stearns
P. Stearns
vs
E. Arango
E. Arango
2119
Elo
1939
2029
Elo on hard court
1840
4 / 10
Form (last 10)
4 / 10
1
Recent matches
3
–
Head-to-head
Edge
1.36
Odds
3.13

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

P. Stearns
  1. W
  2. L
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. L
E. Arango
  1. L
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. L
  8. L
  9. W
  10. L
4 – 6
Wins – losses
4 – 6
12 – 13
Sets won – lost
10 – 14
2 losses
Current streak
1 loss
21-20 (51%)
2026 record
16-25 (39%)
52-61 (46%)
Record on hard court
41-50 (45%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by P. Stearns and E. Arango, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

P. Stearns comes in with an Elo of 2119, against 1939 for E. Arango: a 180-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 189 points in favour of P. Stearns. P. Stearns won 4 of the last ten matches, E. Arango won 4. P. Stearns has one win in the last five matches. E. Arango has one win in the last five matches. In their recent head-to-head meetings, the edge goes to E. Arango. Bookmakers make P. Stearns the favourite.

The model gave P. Stearns the win at 72 %, with a likely score of 2-0. P. Stearns won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

P. Stearns's last five matches

E. Arango's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

This is P. Stearns's first match of the tournament. This is E. Arango's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by I. Jovic, who beat E. Arango in the final (6-4 6-1).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, P. Stearns wins 51 % (27 of 53), E. Arango 48 % (19 of 40). In deciding sets, P. Stearns wins 43 % of the time (72 matches), E. Arango 55 % (55 matches). After losing the first set, P. Stearns turned 15 % of matches around (82 occasions), E. Arango 13 % (109 occasions). After winning the first set, P. Stearns went on to win 80 % of matches, E. Arango 87 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about P. Stearns – E. Arango

Who is the favourite between P. Stearns and E. Arango?
The match is over: P. Stearns won 2-0. Bookmakers make P. Stearns the favourite, priced at 1.36 against 3.13 for E. Arango. Pronocast's model had P. Stearns winning at 72 %.
When is the P. Stearns – E. Arango match?
On Sunday, 13 September 2026 at 21:10, at the Guadalajara tournament (Round of 32, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between P. Stearns and E. Arango?
No meeting between P. Stearns and E. Arango appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for P. Stearns – E. Arango?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Guadalajara

Tournament page

Other matches on 13 September 2026

All matches on 13 September 2026