R. Montgomery vs A-L. Friedsam prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
R. MontgomeryA-L. Friedsam
79.1 %20.9 %
Model favourite
R. Montgomery
Probability
79 %
Predicted score
2-0
Exact score
Actual score
2-0 · R. Montgomery

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

WTABeijingQualifyinghard court08:30
vs
2121
Elo
1890
1939
Elo on hard court
1839
6 / 10
Form (last 10)
4 / 10
2
Recent matches
4
Even
Head-to-head
Even
1.14
Odds
4.12

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

R. Montgomery
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. L
  10. W
A-L. Friedsam
  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
6 – 4
Wins – losses
5 – 5
14 – 11
Sets won – lost
12 – 11
1 win
Current streak
1 win
18-10 (64%)
2026 record
7-13 (35%)
30-30 (50%)
Record on hard court
52-54 (49%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by R. Montgomery and A-L. Friedsam, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

R. Montgomery comes in with an Elo of 2121, against 1890 for A-L. Friedsam: a 231-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 100 points in favour of R. Montgomery. R. Montgomery won 6 of the last ten matches, A-L. Friedsam won 4. R. Montgomery has 3 wins in the last five matches. A-L. Friedsam has 3 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make R. Montgomery the favourite.

The model gave R. Montgomery the win at 79 %, with a likely score of 2-0. R. Montgomery won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

R. Montgomery's last five matches

A-L. Friedsam's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, R. Montgomery beat A. Teixido Garcia (6-1 6-3). To reach this round, A-L. Friedsam beat A. Kulikova (6-4 7-6). In 2025, the tournament was won by A. Anisimova, who beat L. Noskova in the final (6-0 2-6 6-2).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, R. Montgomery wins 56 % (24 of 43), A-L. Friedsam 55 % (28 of 51). In deciding sets, R. Montgomery wins 50 % of the time (46 matches), A-L. Friedsam 45 % (71 matches). After losing the first set, R. Montgomery turned 26 % of matches around (58 occasions), A-L. Friedsam 22 % (87 occasions). After winning the first set, R. Montgomery went on to win 81 % of matches, A-L. Friedsam 73 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about R. Montgomery – A-L. Friedsam

Who is the favourite between R. Montgomery and A-L. Friedsam?
The match is over: R. Montgomery won 2-0. Bookmakers make R. Montgomery the favourite, priced at 1.14 against 4.12 for A-L. Friedsam. Pronocast's model had R. Montgomery winning at 79 %.
When is the R. Montgomery – A-L. Friedsam match?
On Tuesday, 29 September 2026 at 08:30, at the Beijing tournament (Qualifying, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between R. Montgomery and A-L. Friedsam?
No meeting between R. Montgomery and A-L. Friedsam appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for R. Montgomery – A-L. Friedsam?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Beijing

Tournament page

Other matches on 29 September 2026

All matches on 29 September 2026