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R. Nijboer vs M. Moeller prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
R. NijboerM. Moeller
33.9 %66.1 %
Model favourite
M. Moeller
Probability
66 %
Predicted score
0-2
Exact score
Actual score
0-2 · M. Moeller

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerBragaRound of 16clay14:45
R. Nijboer
R. Nijboer
vs
M. Moeller
M. Moeller
1875
Elo
1963
1901
Elo on clay
1886
7 / 10
Form (last 10)
6 / 10
7
Recent matches
3
Even
Head-to-head
Even
2.58
Odds
1.36

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

R. Nijboer
  1. L
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. L
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
M. Moeller
  1. W
  2. L
  3. L
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
5 – 5
Wins – losses
6 – 4
12 – 12
Sets won – lost
15 – 10
3 wins
Current streak
1 win
16-10 (62%)
2026 record
24-12 (67%)
46-44 (51%)
Record on clay
43-35 (55%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by R. Nijboer and M. Moeller, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

M. Moeller comes in with an Elo of 1963, against 1875 for R. Nijboer: a 87-point edge. On clay, the gap is 15 points in favour of R. Nijboer. R. Nijboer won 7 of the last ten matches, M. Moeller won 6. R. Nijboer has 3 wins in the last five matches. M. Moeller has 4 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make M. Moeller the favourite.

The model gave M. Moeller the win at 66 %, with a likely score of 2-0. M. Moeller won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

R. Nijboer's last five matches

M. Moeller's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, R. Nijboer beat N. Hipfl (5-7 7-5 6-1), then B. Hassan (6-3 6-3), then M. McDonald (6-1 4-6 6-3). To reach this round, M. Moeller beat T. Torres (6-4 6-4). In 2025, the tournament was won by L. Mikrut, who beat V. Gaubas in the final (6-3 6-4).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, R. Nijboer wins 46 % (18 of 39), M. Moeller 67 % (24 of 36). In deciding sets, R. Nijboer wins 38 % of the time (45 matches), M. Moeller 54 % (39 matches). After losing the first set, R. Nijboer turned 17 % of matches around (53 occasions), M. Moeller 19 % (48 occasions). After winning the first set, R. Nijboer went on to win 70 % of matches, M. Moeller 87 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about R. Nijboer – M. Moeller

Who is the favourite between R. Nijboer and M. Moeller?
The match is over: M. Moeller won 2-0. Bookmakers make M. Moeller the favourite, priced at 1.36 against 2.58 for R. Nijboer. Pronocast's model had M. Moeller winning at 66 %.
When is the R. Nijboer – M. Moeller match?
On Thursday, 8 October 2026 at 14:45, at the Braga tournament (Round of 16, clay).
What is the head-to-head between R. Nijboer and M. Moeller?
No meeting between R. Nijboer and M. Moeller appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for R. Nijboer – M. Moeller?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Braga

Tournament page

Other matches on 8 October 2026

All matches on 8 October 2026