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R. Safiullin vs S. Mochizuki prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
R. SafiullinS. Mochizuki
77.6 %22.4 %
Model favourite
R. Safiullin
Probability
78 %
Predicted score
2-0
Exact score
Actual score
2-0 · R. Safiullin

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

ATPShanghaiQualifyinghard court06:10
R. Safiullin
R. Safiullin
vs
S. Mochizuki
S. Mochizuki
2218
Elo
1971
2044
Elo on hard court
1856
5 / 10
Form (last 10)
5 / 10
7
Recent matches
5
Even
Head-to-head
Even
–
Odds
–

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

R. Safiullin
  1. L
  2. L
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
S. Mochizuki
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. L
  10. W
5 – 5
Wins – losses
5 – 5
12 – 12
Sets won – lost
10 – 13
1 win
Current streak
1 win
36-16 (69%)
2026 record
22-31 (42%)
105-81 (56%)
Record on hard court
119-111 (52%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by R. Safiullin and S. Mochizuki, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

R. Safiullin comes in with an Elo of 2218, against 1971 for S. Mochizuki: a 247-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 188 points in favour of R. Safiullin. R. Safiullin won 5 of the last ten matches, S. Mochizuki won 5. R. Safiullin has 3 wins in the last five matches. S. Mochizuki has 3 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. No bookmaker odds are available for this match.

The model gave R. Safiullin the win at 78 %, with a likely score of 2-0. R. Safiullin won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

R. Safiullin's last five matches

S. Mochizuki's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, R. Safiullin beat A. Galarneau (6-3 6-0). To reach this round, S. Mochizuki beat T. Daniel (2-6 6-2 6-2). In 2025, the tournament was won by V. Vacherot, who beat A. Rinderknech in the final (4-6 6-3 6-3).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, R. Safiullin wins 48 % (68 of 141), S. Mochizuki 55 % (59 of 107). In deciding sets, R. Safiullin wins 48 % of the time (118 matches), S. Mochizuki 53 % (122 matches). After losing the first set, R. Safiullin turned 25 % of matches around (126 occasions), S. Mochizuki 20 % (171 occasions). After winning the first set, R. Safiullin went on to win 82 % of matches, S. Mochizuki 83 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about R. Safiullin – S. Mochizuki

Who is the favourite between R. Safiullin and S. Mochizuki?
The match is over: R. Safiullin won 2-0. No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model had R. Safiullin winning at 78 %.
When is the R. Safiullin – S. Mochizuki match?
On Tuesday, 6 October 2026 at 06:10, at the Shanghai tournament (Qualifying, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between R. Safiullin and S. Mochizuki?
No meeting between R. Safiullin and S. Mochizuki appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for R. Safiullin – S. Mochizuki?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Shanghai

Tournament page

Other matches on 6 October 2026

All matches on 6 October 2026