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S. Kozlov vs M. Krueger prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
S. KozlovM. Krueger
50.5 %49.5 %
Model favourite
S. Kozlov
Probability
51 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
1-2 · M. Krueger

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerColumbusRound of 16hard court20:10
S. Kozlov
S. Kozlov
vs
M. Krueger
M. Krueger
1837
Elo
1847
1782
Elo on hard court
1825
3 / 10
Form (last 10)
6 / 10
2
Recent matches
4
–
Head-to-head
Edge
1.87
Odds
1.91

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

S. Kozlov
  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. L
  9. L
  10. W
M. Krueger
  1. L
  2. L
  3. L
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. L
  10. W
3 – 7
Wins – losses
4 – 6
10 – 16
Sets won – lost
9 – 14
1 win
Current streak
1 win
22-23 (49%)
2026 record
11-19 (37%)
99-75 (57%)
Record on hard court
119-119 (50%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by S. Kozlov and M. Krueger, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

Both players come in with almost the same Elo (1837 against 1847): nothing separates them in the model's rating. On hard court, the gap is 43 points in favour of M. Krueger. S. Kozlov won 3 of the last ten matches, M. Krueger won 6. S. Kozlov has 2 wins in the last five matches. M. Krueger has 3 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, M. Krueger leads 3 to 2 in their direct meetings. Bookmakers make S. Kozlov the favourite.

The model gave S. Kozlov the win at 51 %, with a likely score of 2-0. M. Krueger won 2-1: prediction missed.

Recent matches

S. Kozlov's last five matches

M. Krueger's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

M. Krueger leads 3 to 2

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, S. Kozlov beat J. K. Trotter (6-3 6-2). To reach this round, M. Krueger beat T. Zink (7-6 6-3). In 2025, the tournament was won by M. Zheng, who beat M. Damm in the final (3-6 6-3 7-5).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, S. Kozlov wins 56 % (35 of 62), M. Krueger 40 % (53 of 134). In deciding sets, S. Kozlov wins 59 % of the time (92 matches), M. Krueger 50 % (103 matches). After losing the first set, S. Kozlov turned 22 % of matches around (107 occasions), M. Krueger 17 % (157 occasions). After winning the first set, S. Kozlov went on to win 87 % of matches, M. Krueger 84 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about S. Kozlov – M. Krueger

Who is the favourite between S. Kozlov and M. Krueger?
The match is over: M. Krueger won 2-1. Bookmakers cannot separate the two players: S. Kozlov is priced at 1.87, M. Krueger at 1.91. Pronocast's model had S. Kozlov winning at 51 %.
When is the S. Kozlov – M. Krueger match?
On Thursday, 1 October 2026 at 20:10, at the Columbus tournament (Round of 16, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between S. Kozlov and M. Krueger?
Since 2020, M. Krueger leads 3 to 2 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for S. Kozlov – M. Krueger?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Columbus

Tournament page

Other matches on 1 October 2026

All matches on 1 October 2026