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V. Aboian vs A. Pellegrino prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
V. AboianA. Pellegrino
18.3 %81.7 %
Model favourite
A. Pellegrino
Probability
82 %
Predicted score
0-2
Actual score
2-0 · V. Aboian

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.5.

Men's ChallengerGenovaRound of 16clay22:30
V. Aboian
V. Aboian
vs
A. Pellegrino
A. Pellegrino
1758
Elo
2030
1760
Elo on clay
2041
7 / 10
Form (last 10)
5 / 10
8
Recent matches
1
–
Head-to-head
Edge
4.44
Odds
1.17

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

V. Aboian
  1. W
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
A. Pellegrino
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. L
  9. L
  10. W
6 – 4
Wins – losses
5 – 5
14 – 12
Sets won – lost
13 – 11
3 wins
Current streak
1 win
23-18 (56%)
2026 record
29-19 (60%)
65-62 (51%)
Record on clay
149-118 (56%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by V. Aboian and A. Pellegrino, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

A. Pellegrino comes in with an Elo of 2030, against 1758 for V. Aboian: a 273-point edge. On clay, the gap is 282 points in favour of A. Pellegrino. V. Aboian won 7 of the last ten matches, A. Pellegrino won 5. V. Aboian has 4 wins in the last five matches. A. Pellegrino has 2 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, A. Pellegrino leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings. Bookmakers make A. Pellegrino the favourite.

The model gave A. Pellegrino the win at 82 %, with a likely score of 2-0. V. Aboian won 2-0: prediction missed.

Recent matches

V. Aboian's last five matches

A. Pellegrino's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

A. Pellegrino leads 1 to 0

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, V. Aboian beat L. Castagnola (6-3 4-6 6-2), then L. Rottoli (3-6 6-3 6-2), then J. C. Martin Manzano (7-5 2-6 6-1). To reach this round, A. Pellegrino beat M. Petkovic (7-6 6-4). In 2025, the tournament was won by L. Darderi, who beat A. Pellegrino in the final (6-1 6-3).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, V. Aboian wins 54 % (13 of 24), A. Pellegrino 51 % (48 of 94). In deciding sets, V. Aboian wins 50 % of the time (48 matches), A. Pellegrino 58 % (119 matches). After losing the first set, V. Aboian turned 18 % of matches around (65 occasions), A. Pellegrino 25 % (163 occasions). After winning the first set, V. Aboian went on to win 83 % of matches, A. Pellegrino 82 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about V. Aboian – A. Pellegrino

Who is the favourite between V. Aboian and A. Pellegrino?
The match is over: V. Aboian won 2-0. Bookmakers make A. Pellegrino the favourite, priced at 1.17 against 4.44 for V. Aboian. Pronocast's model had A. Pellegrino winning at 82 %.
When is the V. Aboian – A. Pellegrino match?
On Wednesday, 9 September 2026 at 22:30, at the Genova tournament (Round of 16, clay).
What is the head-to-head between V. Aboian and A. Pellegrino?
Since 2020, A. Pellegrino leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for V. Aboian – A. Pellegrino?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Genova

Tournament page

Other matches on 9 September 2026

All matches on 9 September 2026