V. Gaubas vs D. Ajdukovic prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction

V. GaubasD. Ajdukovic

72.7 %27.3 %

Model favourite: V. Gaubas
Probability: 73 %
Predicted score: 2-0
Actual score: 2-1 · V. Gaubas

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerBragaRound of 16clay18:30

V. Gaubas

D. Ajdukovic

2000
Elo: 1808; 1926
Elo on clay: 1787; 5 / 10
Form (last 10): 4 / 10; 1
Recent matches: 2; Edge
Head-to-head: –; 1.32
Odds: 3.10

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

V. Gaubas

D. Ajdukovic

5 – 5
Wins – losses: 4 – 6; 13 – 10
Sets won – lost: 12 – 13; 1 win
Current streak: 1 win; 30-27 (53%)
2026 record: 16-21 (43%); 95-72 (57%)
Record on clay: 109-98 (53%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by V. Gaubas and D. Ajdukovic, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

V. Gaubas comes in with an Elo of 2000, against 1808 for D. Ajdukovic: a 192-point edge. On clay, the gap is 139 points in favour of V. Gaubas. V. Gaubas won 5 of the last ten matches, D. Ajdukovic won 4. V. Gaubas has 2 wins in the last five matches. D. Ajdukovic has 2 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, V. Gaubas leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings. Bookmakers make V. Gaubas the favourite.

The model gave V. Gaubas the win at 73 %, with a likely score of 2-0. V. Gaubas won 2-1: prediction correct.

Recent matches

V. Gaubas's last five matches

VJ. DominguesBraga 2026 · Round of 32 · 5 October 20266-1 7-5
DH. MedjedovicATP Davis Cup - World Group I 2026 · 19 September 20264-6 4-6
DP. LagutinSeville 2026 · Round of 32 · 8 September 20262-6 6-3 0-6
DH. WendelkenUS Open 2026 · Qualifying · 28 August 20267-6 6-7 6-7
VM. CecchinatoUS Open 2026 · Qualifying · 26 August 20266-4 6-3

D. Ajdukovic's last five matches

VF. C. JianuBraga 2026 · Round of 32 · 5 October 20266-2 6-2
DI. Lopez MorilloBari (Italy) - Qualification 2026 · Qualifying · 27 September 20263-6 6-4 4-6
DS. SakellaridisGenova 2026 · Round of 16 · 9 September 20266-7 6-2 4-6
VF. RomanoGenova 2026 · Round of 32 · 7 September 20266-2 7-5
DJ. ClarkeComo 2026 · Quarter-final · 4 September 20266-2 3-6 2-6

Head-to-head since 2020

V. Gaubas leads 1 to 0

VD. AjdukovicFrench Open 2025 · Qualifying · 19 May 20256-7 6-4 6-4

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, V. Gaubas beat J. Domingues (6-1 7-5). To reach this round, D. Ajdukovic beat F. C. Jianu (6-2 6-2). In 2025, the tournament was won by L. Mikrut, who beat V. Gaubas in the final (6-3 6-4).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, V. Gaubas wins 45 % (34 of 75), D. Ajdukovic 44 % (51 of 117). In deciding sets, V. Gaubas wins 58 % of the time (86 matches), D. Ajdukovic 52 % (114 matches). After losing the first set, V. Gaubas turned 29 % of matches around (102 occasions), D. Ajdukovic 20 % (148 occasions). After winning the first set, V. Gaubas went on to win 79 % of matches, D. Ajdukovic 80 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about V. Gaubas – D. Ajdukovic

Who is the favourite between V. Gaubas and D. Ajdukovic?: The match is over: V. Gaubas won 2-1. Bookmakers make V. Gaubas the favourite, priced at 1.32 against 3.10 for D. Ajdukovic. Pronocast's model had V. Gaubas winning at 73 %.
When is the V. Gaubas – D. Ajdukovic match?: On Thursday, 8 October 2026 at 18:30, at the Braga tournament (Round of 16, clay).
What is the head-to-head between V. Gaubas and D. Ajdukovic?: Since 2020, V. Gaubas leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for V. Gaubas – D. Ajdukovic?: The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions