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X. Yao vs M. Joint prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
X. YaoM. Joint
19.4 %80.6 %
Model favourite
M. Joint
Probability
81 %
Predicted score
0-2
Actual score
1-2 · M. Joint

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

WTASeoulRound of 32hard court05:05
X. Yao
X. Yao
vs
M. Joint
M. Joint
1778
Elo
2057
1812
Elo on hard court
1999
4 / 10
Form (last 10)
6 / 10
5
Recent matches
0
Even
Head-to-head
Even
–
Odds
–

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

X. Yao
  1. L
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
M. Joint
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. L
6 – 4
Wins – losses
6 – 4
13 – 10
Sets won – lost
15 – 12
2 wins
Current streak
1 loss
6-2 (75%)
2026 record
11-22 (33%)
7-10 (41%)
Record on hard court
55-43 (56%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by X. Yao and M. Joint, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

M. Joint comes in with an Elo of 2057, against 1778 for X. Yao: a 280-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 187 points in favour of M. Joint. X. Yao won 4 of the last ten matches, M. Joint won 6. X. Yao has 4 wins in the last five matches. M. Joint has 3 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. No bookmaker odds are available for this match.

The model gave M. Joint the win at 81 %, with a likely score of 2-0. M. Joint won 2-1: prediction correct.

Recent matches

X. Yao's last five matches

M. Joint's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, X. Yao beat P. Hon (6-7 7-6 7-5), then M. Kuramochi (6-1 6-4). This is M. Joint's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by I. Swiatek, who beat E. Alexandrova in the final (1-6 7-6 7-5).

Key numbers

After losing the first set, X. Yao turned 14 % of matches around (14 occasions), M. Joint 23 % (57 occasions).

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about X. Yao – M. Joint

Who is the favourite between X. Yao and M. Joint?
The match is over: M. Joint won 2-1. No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model had M. Joint winning at 81 %.
When is the X. Yao – M. Joint match?
On Monday, 21 September 2026 at 05:05, at the Seoul tournament (Round of 32, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between X. Yao and M. Joint?
No meeting between X. Yao and M. Joint appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for X. Yao – M. Joint?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Seoul

Tournament page

Other matches on 21 September 2026

All matches on 21 September 2026