Pronocast
ProductPredictionsPricing
Create account

Y. Ma vs K. Birrell prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
Y. MaK. Birrell
22.4 %77.6 %
Model favourite
K. Birrell
Probability
78 %
Predicted score
0-2
Exact score
Actual score
0-2 · K. Birrell

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

WTASeoulhard court05:05Time to be confirmed
Y. Ma
Y. Ma
vs
K. Birrell
K. Birrell
1862
Elo
2075
1843
Elo on hard court
2030
6 / 10
Form (last 10)
3 / 10
4
Recent matches
1
Edge
Head-to-head
–
–
Odds
–

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

Y. Ma
  1. L
  2. L
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
K. Birrell
  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. L
  5. L
  6. L
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
5 – 5
Wins – losses
3 – 7
12 – 12
Sets won – lost
7 – 16
3 wins
Current streak
1 win
7-8 (47%)
2026 record
23-24 (49%)
24-21 (53%)
Record on hard court
80-67 (54%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by Y. Ma and K. Birrell, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

K. Birrell comes in with an Elo of 2075, against 1862 for Y. Ma: a 213-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 187 points in favour of K. Birrell. Y. Ma won 6 of the last ten matches, K. Birrell won 3. Y. Ma has 3 wins in the last five matches. K. Birrell has 2 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, Y. Ma leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings. No bookmaker odds are available for this match.

The model gave K. Birrell the win at 78 %, with a likely score of 2-0. K. Birrell won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

Y. Ma's last five matches

K. Birrell's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

Y. Ma leads 1 to 0

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, Y. Ma beat C. Zhao (6-3 6-0), then E. Lee (6-3 6-1), then E. Jones (3-6 6-0 6-2). To reach this round, K. Birrell beat T. Zidansek (7-6 6-4). In 2025, the tournament was won by I. Swiatek, who beat E. Alexandrova in the final (1-6 7-6 7-5).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, Y. Ma wins 54 % (7 of 13), K. Birrell 47 % (26 of 55). In deciding sets, Y. Ma wins 50 % of the time (18 matches), K. Birrell 49 % (71 matches). After losing the first set, Y. Ma turned 20 % of matches around (30 occasions), K. Birrell 16 % (102 occasions). After winning the first set, Y. Ma went on to win 76 % of matches, K. Birrell 83 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about Y. Ma – K. Birrell

Who is the favourite between Y. Ma and K. Birrell?
The match is over: K. Birrell won 2-0. No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model had K. Birrell winning at 78 %.
When is the Y. Ma – K. Birrell match?
On Thursday, 24 September 2026, at the Seoul tournament (hard court). The time is still to be confirmed.
What is the head-to-head between Y. Ma and K. Birrell?
Since 2020, Y. Ma leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for Y. Ma – K. Birrell?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Seoul

Tournament page

Other matches on 24 September 2026

All matches on 24 September 2026