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Y. Nishioka vs D. Svrcina prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
Y. NishiokaD. Svrcina
39.7 %60.3 %
Model favourite
D. Svrcina
Probability
60 %
Predicted score
0-2
Actual score
0-0 · D. Svrcina

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

ATPShanghaiQualifyinghard court08:35
Y. Nishioka
Y. Nishioka
vs
D. Svrcina
D. Svrcina
2084
Elo
2040
2036
Elo on hard court
1988
6 / 10
Form (last 10)
7 / 10
2
Recent matches
5
Edge
Head-to-head
–
2.32
Odds
1.55

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

Y. Nishioka
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. L
  9. L
  10. W
D. Svrcina
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. L
  10. W
6 – 4
Wins – losses
7 – 3
14 – 11
Sets won – lost
17 – 11
1 win
Current streak
1 win
2-4 (33%)
2026 record
30-25 (55%)
112-70 (62%)
Record on hard court
76-64 (54%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by Y. Nishioka and D. Svrcina, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

Y. Nishioka comes in with an Elo of 2084, against 2040 for D. Svrcina: a 44-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 48 points in favour of Y. Nishioka. Y. Nishioka won 6 of the last ten matches, D. Svrcina won 7. Y. Nishioka has 2 wins in the last five matches. D. Svrcina has 3 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, Y. Nishioka leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings. Bookmakers make D. Svrcina the favourite.

The model gave D. Svrcina the win at 60 %, with a likely score of 2-0. D. Svrcina won 0-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

Y. Nishioka's last five matches

D. Svrcina's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

Y. Nishioka leads 1 to 0

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, Y. Nishioka beat A. Shevchenko (6-2 6-4). To reach this round, D. Svrcina beat B. Harris (4-6 7-6 7-5). In 2025, the tournament was won by V. Vacherot, who beat A. Rinderknech in the final (4-6 6-3 6-3).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, Y. Nishioka wins 60 % (52 of 86), D. Svrcina 47 % (33 of 70). In deciding sets, Y. Nishioka wins 62 % of the time (78 matches), D. Svrcina 53 % (97 matches). After losing the first set, Y. Nishioka turned 25 % of matches around (103 occasions), D. Svrcina 19 % (135 occasions). After winning the first set, Y. Nishioka went on to win 86 % of matches, D. Svrcina 84 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about Y. Nishioka – D. Svrcina

Who is the favourite between Y. Nishioka and D. Svrcina?
The match is over: D. Svrcina won 0-0. Bookmakers make D. Svrcina the favourite, priced at 1.55 against 2.32 for Y. Nishioka. Pronocast's model had D. Svrcina winning at 60 %.
When is the Y. Nishioka – D. Svrcina match?
On Tuesday, 6 October 2026 at 08:35, at the Shanghai tournament (Qualifying, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between Y. Nishioka and D. Svrcina?
Since 2020, Y. Nishioka leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for Y. Nishioka – D. Svrcina?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Shanghai

Tournament page

Other matches on 6 October 2026

All matches on 6 October 2026