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Y. Yuan vs D. Back prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
Y. YuanD. Back
66.1 %33.9 %
Model favourite
Y. Yuan
Probability
66 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
1-2 · D. Back

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

WTASeoulRound of 32hard court08:10
Y. Yuan
Y. Yuan
vs
D. Back
D. Back
1978
Elo
1830
1916
Elo on hard court
1890
4 / 10
Form (last 10)
4 / 10
0
Recent matches
1
Even
Head-to-head
Even
–
Odds
–

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

Y. Yuan
  1. L
  2. L
  3. L
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. L
D. Back
  1. L
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
4 – 6
Wins – losses
7 – 3
14 – 12
Sets won – lost
14 – 7
1 loss
Current streak
5 wins
23-25 (48%)
2026 record
5-0 (100%)
63-64 (50%)
Record on hard court
3-5 (38%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by Y. Yuan and D. Back, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

Y. Yuan comes in with an Elo of 1978, against 1830 for D. Back: a 148-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 26 points in favour of Y. Yuan. Y. Yuan won 4 of the last ten matches, D. Back won 4. Y. Yuan has 3 wins in the last five matches. D. Back has 5 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. No bookmaker odds are available for this match.

The model gave Y. Yuan the win at 66 %, with a likely score of 2-0. D. Back won 2-1: prediction missed.

Recent matches

Y. Yuan's last five matches

D. Back's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

This is Y. Yuan's first match of the tournament. This is D. Back's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by I. Swiatek, who beat E. Alexandrova in the final (1-6 7-6 7-5).

Key numbers

After winning the first set, Y. Yuan went on to win 73 % of matches, D. Back 86 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about Y. Yuan – D. Back

Who is the favourite between Y. Yuan and D. Back?
The match is over: D. Back won 2-1. No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model had Y. Yuan winning at 66 %.
When is the Y. Yuan – D. Back match?
On Monday, 21 September 2026 at 08:10, at the Seoul tournament (Round of 32, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between Y. Yuan and D. Back?
No meeting between Y. Yuan and D. Back appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for Y. Yuan – D. Back?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Seoul

Tournament page

Other matches on 21 September 2026

All matches on 21 September 2026