Pronocast
ProductPredictionsPricing
Create account

A. Binda vs F. Sun prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
A. BindaF. Sun
26.8 %73.2 %
Model favourite
F. Sun
Probability
73 %
Predicted score
0-2
Actual score
2-1 · A. Binda

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerGuangzhou 2Round of 16hard court09:40
A. Binda
A. Binda
vs
F. Sun
F. Sun
1703
Elo
1839
1717
Elo on hard court
1840
7 / 10
Form (last 10)
6 / 10
6
Recent matches
4
Even
Head-to-head
Even
3.22
Odds
1.27

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

A. Binda
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
F. Sun
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. L
  10. W
7 – 3
Wins – losses
6 – 4
14 – 7
Sets won – lost
12 – 12
3 wins
Current streak
1 win
16-15 (52%)
2026 record
25-23 (52%)
25-28 (47%)
Record on hard court
62-65 (49%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by A. Binda and F. Sun, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

F. Sun comes in with an Elo of 1839, against 1703 for A. Binda: a 137-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 123 points in favour of F. Sun. A. Binda won 7 of the last ten matches, F. Sun won 6. A. Binda has 4 wins in the last five matches. F. Sun has 3 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make F. Sun the favourite.

The model gave F. Sun the win at 73 %, with a likely score of 2-0. A. Binda won 2-1: prediction missed.

Recent matches

A. Binda's last five matches

F. Sun's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, A. Binda beat K. Uesugi (7-6 6-3), then K. Ogura (6-4 4-6 6-4), then A. Wang (6-3 6-4). To reach this round, F. Sun beat A. Galarneau (7-5 3-6 7-5). In 2025, the tournament was won by J. M. Cerundolo, who beat A. Tabilo in the final (6-2 6-3).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, A. Binda wins 42 % (5 of 12), F. Sun 38 % (16 of 42). In deciding sets, A. Binda wins 57 % of the time (14 matches), F. Sun 46 % (48 matches). After losing the first set, A. Binda turned 12 % of matches around (33 occasions), F. Sun 20 % (71 occasions). After winning the first set, A. Binda went on to win 92 % of matches, F. Sun 78 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about A. Binda – F. Sun

Who is the favourite between A. Binda and F. Sun?
The match is over: A. Binda won 2-1. Bookmakers make F. Sun the favourite, priced at 1.27 against 3.22 for A. Binda. Pronocast's model had F. Sun winning at 73 %.
When is the A. Binda – F. Sun match?
On Thursday, 17 September 2026 at 09:40, at the Guangzhou 2 tournament (Round of 16, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between A. Binda and F. Sun?
No meeting between A. Binda and F. Sun appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for A. Binda – F. Sun?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Guangzhou 2

Tournament page

Other matches on 17 September 2026

All matches on 17 September 2026