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A. Binda vs K. Ogura prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
A. BindaK. Ogura
67.7 %32.3 %
Model favourite
A. Binda
Probability
68 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
2-1 · A. Binda

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerGuangzhou 2Qualifyinghard court11:35
A. Binda
A. Binda
vs
K. Ogura
K. Ogura
1681
Elo
1512
1694
Elo on hard court
1510
6 / 10
Form (last 10)
4 / 10
4
Recent matches
4
Even
Head-to-head
Even
1.35
Odds
2.85

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

A. Binda
  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
K. Ogura
  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
6 – 4
Wins – losses
5 – 5
12 – 8
Sets won – lost
12 – 10
1 win
Current streak
1 win
14-15 (48%)
2026 record
4-2 (67%)
23-28 (45%)
Record on hard court
11-12 (48%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by A. Binda and K. Ogura, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

A. Binda comes in with an Elo of 1681, against 1512 for K. Ogura: a 169-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 185 points in favour of A. Binda. A. Binda won 6 of the last ten matches, K. Ogura won 4. A. Binda has 3 wins in the last five matches. K. Ogura has 3 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make A. Binda the favourite.

The model gave A. Binda the win at 68 %, with a likely score of 2-0. A. Binda won 2-1: prediction correct.

Recent matches

A. Binda's last five matches

K. Ogura's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, A. Binda beat K. Uesugi (7-6 6-3). To reach this round, K. Ogura beat D. Sumizawa (7-6 7-6). In 2025, the tournament was won by J. M. Cerundolo, who beat A. Tabilo in the final (6-2 6-3).

Key numbers

After losing the first set, A. Binda turned 12 % of matches around (33 occasions), K. Ogura 4 % (23 occasions). After winning the first set, A. Binda went on to win 92 % of matches, K. Ogura 81 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about A. Binda – K. Ogura

Who is the favourite between A. Binda and K. Ogura?
The match is over: A. Binda won 2-1. Bookmakers make A. Binda the favourite, priced at 1.35 against 2.85 for K. Ogura. Pronocast's model had A. Binda winning at 68 %.
When is the A. Binda – K. Ogura match?
On Monday, 14 September 2026 at 11:35, at the Guangzhou 2 tournament (Qualifying, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between A. Binda and K. Ogura?
No meeting between A. Binda and K. Ogura appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for A. Binda – K. Ogura?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Guangzhou 2

Tournament page

Other matches on 14 September 2026

All matches on 14 September 2026