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A. Muller vs A. Davidovich Fokina prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
A. MullerA. Davidovich Fokina
29.4 %70.6 %
Model favourite
A. Davidovich Fokina
Probability
71 %
Predicted score
0-2
Exact score
Actual score
0-2 · A. Davidovich Fokina

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

ATPChengduQuarter-finalhard court08:55
A. Muller
A. Muller
vs
A. Davidovich Fokina
A. Davidovich Fokina
2005
Elo
2279
1953
Elo on hard court
2149
6 / 10
Form (last 10)
8 / 10
4
Recent matches
1
Even
Head-to-head
Even
3.22
Odds
1.27

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

A. Muller
  1. L
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
A. Davidovich Fokina
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
6 – 4
Wins – losses
8 – 2
12 – 9
Sets won – lost
22 – 6
4 wins
Current streak
1 win
17-21 (45%)
2026 record
24-14 (63%)
84-81 (51%)
Record on hard court
91-79 (54%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by A. Muller and A. Davidovich Fokina, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

A. Davidovich Fokina comes in with an Elo of 2279, against 2005 for A. Muller: a 275-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 196 points in favour of A. Davidovich Fokina. A. Muller won 6 of the last ten matches, A. Davidovich Fokina won 8. A. Muller has 4 wins in the last five matches. A. Davidovich Fokina has 3 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make A. Davidovich Fokina the favourite.

The model gave A. Davidovich Fokina the win at 71 %, with a likely score of 2-0. A. Davidovich Fokina won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

A. Muller's last five matches

A. Davidovich Fokina's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, A. Muller beat L. Pavlovic (6-4 6-7 6-3), then P. Bar Biryukov (6-4 6-4), then M. Kouame (6-4 6-0), then F. Cina (7-6 6-1). To reach this round, A. Davidovich Fokina beat J. M. Cerundolo (6-4 6-4). In 2025, the tournament was won by A. Tabilo, who beat L. Musetti in the final (6-3 2-6 7-6).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, A. Muller wins 50 % (74 of 149), A. Davidovich Fokina 44 % (60 of 136). In deciding sets, A. Muller wins 60 % of the time (111 matches), A. Davidovich Fokina 47 % (90 matches). After losing the first set, A. Muller turned 23 % of matches around (181 occasions), A. Davidovich Fokina 19 % (119 occasions). After winning the first set, A. Muller went on to win 84 % of matches, A. Davidovich Fokina 81 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about A. Muller – A. Davidovich Fokina

Who is the favourite between A. Muller and A. Davidovich Fokina?
The match is over: A. Davidovich Fokina won 2-0. Bookmakers make A. Davidovich Fokina the favourite, priced at 1.27 against 3.22 for A. Muller. Pronocast's model had A. Davidovich Fokina winning at 71 %.
When is the A. Muller – A. Davidovich Fokina match?
On Sunday, 27 September 2026 at 08:55, at the Chengdu tournament (Quarter-final, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between A. Muller and A. Davidovich Fokina?
No meeting between A. Muller and A. Davidovich Fokina appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for A. Muller – A. Davidovich Fokina?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Chengdu

Tournament page

Other matches on 27 September 2026

All matches on 27 September 2026