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H. Hurkacz vs A. Davidovich Fokina prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
H. HurkaczA. Davidovich Fokina
56.0 %44.0 %
Model favourite
H. Hurkacz
Probability
56 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
0-2 · A. Davidovich Fokina

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

ATPChengduFinalhard court13:10
H. Hurkacz
H. Hurkacz
vs
A. Davidovich Fokina
A. Davidovich Fokina
2309
Elo
2291
2158
Elo on hard court
2169
9 / 10
Form (last 10)
8 / 10
4
Recent matches
3
Even
Head-to-head
Even
1.61
Odds
2.07

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

H. Hurkacz
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
A. Davidovich Fokina
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
9 – 1
Wins – losses
8 – 2
20 – 8
Sets won – lost
22 – 6
4 wins
Current streak
3 wins
29-18 (62%)
2026 record
26-14 (65%)
124-75 (62%)
Record on hard court
93-79 (54%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by H. Hurkacz and A. Davidovich Fokina, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

H. Hurkacz comes in with an Elo of 2309, against 2291 for A. Davidovich Fokina: a 18-point edge. H. Hurkacz won 9 of the last ten matches, A. Davidovich Fokina won 8. H. Hurkacz has 4 wins in the last five matches. A. Davidovich Fokina has 4 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020 they have met 4 times, 2 win(s) each. Bookmakers make H. Hurkacz the favourite.

The model gave H. Hurkacz the win at 56 %, with a likely score of 2-0. A. Davidovich Fokina won 2-0: prediction missed.

Recent matches

H. Hurkacz's last five matches

A. Davidovich Fokina's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

Level, 2 win(s) each

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, H. Hurkacz beat A. Shevchenko (6-3 7-6), then M. Damm (4-6 6-3 6-4), then L. Harris (7-6 6-4), then D. Shapovalov (6-7 6-3 6-3). To reach this round, A. Davidovich Fokina beat J. M. Cerundolo (6-4 6-4), then A. Muller (6-1 7-5), then N. Basilashvili (4-6 6-4 6-3). In 2025, the tournament was won by A. Tabilo, who beat L. Musetti in the final (6-3 2-6 7-6).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, H. Hurkacz wins 53 % (125 of 234), A. Davidovich Fokina 44 % (60 of 136). In deciding sets, H. Hurkacz wins 55 % of the time (130 matches), A. Davidovich Fokina 47 % (91 matches). After losing the first set, H. Hurkacz turned 32 % of matches around (112 occasions), A. Davidovich Fokina 20 % (120 occasions). After winning the first set, H. Hurkacz went on to win 83 % of matches, A. Davidovich Fokina 81 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about H. Hurkacz – A. Davidovich Fokina

Who is the favourite between H. Hurkacz and A. Davidovich Fokina?
The match is over: A. Davidovich Fokina won 2-0. Bookmakers make H. Hurkacz the favourite, priced at 1.61 against 2.07 for A. Davidovich Fokina. Pronocast's model had H. Hurkacz winning at 56 %.
When is the H. Hurkacz – A. Davidovich Fokina match?
On Tuesday, 29 September 2026 at 13:10, at the Chengdu tournament (Final, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between H. Hurkacz and A. Davidovich Fokina?
Since 2020 they have met 4 times, 2 win(s) each.
Where can I see the prediction for H. Hurkacz – A. Davidovich Fokina?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Chengdu

Tournament page

Other matches on 29 September 2026

All matches on 29 September 2026