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H. Mayot vs M. Basing prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
H. MayotM. Basing
67.5 %32.5 %
Model favourite
H. Mayot
Probability
68 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
0-2 · M. Basing

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerIstanbulSemi-finalhard court10:10
H. Mayot
H. Mayot
vs
M. Basing
M. Basing
1995
Elo
1925
1997
Elo on hard court
1898
7 / 10
Form (last 10)
7 / 10
3
Recent matches
4
Even
Head-to-head
Even
1.39
Odds
2.82

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

H. Mayot
  1. W
  2. L
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
M. Basing
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
7 – 3
Wins – losses
7 – 3
15 – 8
Sets won – lost
15 – 7
3 wins
Current streak
3 wins
16-13 (55%)
2026 record
14-10 (58%)
93-76 (55%)
Record on hard court
22-11 (67%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by H. Mayot and M. Basing, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

H. Mayot comes in with an Elo of 1995, against 1925 for M. Basing: a 70-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 99 points in favour of H. Mayot. H. Mayot won 7 of the last ten matches, M. Basing won 7. H. Mayot has 4 wins in the last five matches. M. Basing has 3 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make H. Mayot the favourite.

The model gave H. Mayot the win at 68 %, with a likely score of 2-0. M. Basing won 2-0: prediction missed.

Recent matches

H. Mayot's last five matches

M. Basing's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, H. Mayot beat C. Cretu (6-2 6-4), then G. A. Boitan (6-7 6-3 6-2), then D. Kuzmanov (6-4 6-2). To reach this round, M. Basing beat A. Karahan (6-1 6-0), then M. Alkaya (6-4 7-5), then E. Butvilas (6-3 6-4). In 2025, the tournament was won by A. Molcan, who beat N. Mejia in the final (7-6 6-2).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, H. Mayot wins 42 % (38 of 90), M. Basing 63 % (12 of 19). In deciding sets, H. Mayot wins 50 % of the time (80 matches), M. Basing 65 % (20 matches). After losing the first set, H. Mayot turned 14 % of matches around (133 occasions), M. Basing 35 % (17 occasions). After winning the first set, H. Mayot went on to win 89 % of matches, M. Basing 81 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about H. Mayot – M. Basing

Who is the favourite between H. Mayot and M. Basing?
The match is over: M. Basing won 2-0. Bookmakers make H. Mayot the favourite, priced at 1.39 against 2.82 for M. Basing. Pronocast's model had H. Mayot winning at 68 %.
When is the H. Mayot – M. Basing match?
On Saturday, 12 September 2026 at 10:10, at the Istanbul tournament (Semi-final, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between H. Mayot and M. Basing?
No meeting between H. Mayot and M. Basing appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for H. Mayot – M. Basing?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Istanbul

Tournament page

Other matches on 12 September 2026

All matches on 12 September 2026