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C. Sinclair vs L. Xiao prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
C. SinclairL. Xiao
56.8 %43.2 %
Model favourite
C. Sinclair
Probability
57 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
2-1 · C. Sinclair

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerGuangzhou 2Round of 32hard court14:30
C. Sinclair
C. Sinclair
vs
L. Xiao
L. Xiao
1647
Elo
1555
1632
Elo on hard court
1538
6 / 10
Form (last 10)
3 / 10
5
Recent matches
3
Edge
Head-to-head
–
1.65
Odds
2.11

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

C. Sinclair
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. L
L. Xiao
  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. L
  5. L
  6. L
  7. L
  8. L
  9. W
  10. L
6 – 4
Wins – losses
2 – 8
12 – 13
Sets won – lost
7 – 16
1 loss
Current streak
1 loss
8-6 (57%)
2026 record
1-5 (17%)
45-47 (49%)
Record on hard court
12-27 (31%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by C. Sinclair and L. Xiao, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

C. Sinclair comes in with an Elo of 1647, against 1555 for L. Xiao: a 91-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 94 points in favour of C. Sinclair. C. Sinclair won 6 of the last ten matches, L. Xiao won 3. C. Sinclair has 3 wins in the last five matches. L. Xiao has one win in the last five matches. In their recent head-to-head meetings, the edge goes to C. Sinclair. Bookmakers make C. Sinclair the favourite.

The model gave C. Sinclair the win at 57 %, with a likely score of 2-0. C. Sinclair won 2-1: prediction correct.

Recent matches

C. Sinclair's last five matches

L. Xiao's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

This is C. Sinclair's first match of the tournament. This is L. Xiao's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by J. M. Cerundolo, who beat A. Tabilo in the final (6-2 6-3).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, C. Sinclair wins 44 % (23 of 52), L. Xiao 64 % (7 of 11). In deciding sets, C. Sinclair wins 56 % of the time (45 matches), L. Xiao 25 % (12 matches). After losing the first set, C. Sinclair turned 24 % of matches around (54 occasions), L. Xiao 4 % (24 occasions). After winning the first set, C. Sinclair went on to win 78 % of matches, L. Xiao 73 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about C. Sinclair – L. Xiao

Who is the favourite between C. Sinclair and L. Xiao?
The match is over: C. Sinclair won 2-1. Bookmakers make C. Sinclair the favourite, priced at 1.65 against 2.11 for L. Xiao. Pronocast's model had C. Sinclair winning at 57 %.
When is the C. Sinclair – L. Xiao match?
On Monday, 14 September 2026 at 14:30, at the Guangzhou 2 tournament (Round of 32, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between C. Sinclair and L. Xiao?
No meeting between C. Sinclair and L. Xiao appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for C. Sinclair – L. Xiao?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Guangzhou 2

Tournament page

Other matches on 14 September 2026

All matches on 14 September 2026