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D. Goffin vs M. Lajal prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
D. GoffinM. Lajal
36.0 %64.0 %
Model favourite
M. Lajal
Probability
64 %
Predicted score
0-2
Exact score
Actual score
0-2 · M. Lajal

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerSt. TropezRound of 32hard court18:10
D. Goffin
D. Goffin
vs
M. Lajal
M. Lajal
1946
Elo
2073
1858
Elo on hard court
2019
2 / 10
Form (last 10)
8 / 10
0
Recent matches
5
Edge
Head-to-head
–
–
Odds
–

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

D. Goffin
  1. L
  2. L
  3. L
  4. W
  5. L
  6. L
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. L
M. Lajal
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. L
2 – 8
Wins – losses
8 – 2
8 – 17
Sets won – lost
16 – 6
2 losses
Current streak
1 loss
2-9 (18%)
2026 record
36-21 (63%)
79-80 (50%)
Record on hard court
126-81 (61%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by D. Goffin and M. Lajal, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

M. Lajal comes in with an Elo of 2073, against 1946 for D. Goffin: a 127-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 161 points in favour of M. Lajal. D. Goffin won 2 of the last ten matches, M. Lajal won 8. D. Goffin has one win in the last five matches. M. Lajal has 4 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, D. Goffin leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings. No bookmaker odds are available for this match.

The model gave M. Lajal the win at 64 %, with a likely score of 2-0. M. Lajal won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

D. Goffin's last five matches

M. Lajal's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

D. Goffin leads 1 to 0

Road through the tournament

This is D. Goffin's first match of the tournament. This is M. Lajal's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by M. Echargui, who beat D. Added in the final (6-3 6-4).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, D. Goffin wins 49 % (48 of 97), M. Lajal 55 % (60 of 109). In deciding sets, D. Goffin wins 55 % of the time (92 matches), M. Lajal 51 % (99 matches). After losing the first set, D. Goffin turned 27 % of matches around (133 occasions), M. Lajal 28 % (105 occasions). After winning the first set, D. Goffin went on to win 83 % of matches, M. Lajal 82 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about D. Goffin – M. Lajal

Who is the favourite between D. Goffin and M. Lajal?
The match is over: M. Lajal won 2-0. No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model had M. Lajal winning at 64 %.
When is the D. Goffin – M. Lajal match?
On Monday, 21 September 2026 at 18:10, at the St. Tropez tournament (Round of 32, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between D. Goffin and M. Lajal?
Since 2020, D. Goffin leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for D. Goffin – M. Lajal?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: St. Tropez

Tournament page

Other matches on 21 September 2026

All matches on 21 September 2026