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T. Droguet vs M. Lajal prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
T. DroguetM. Lajal
56.0 %44.0 %
Model favourite
T. Droguet
Probability
56 %
Predicted score
2-0
Exact score
Actual score
2-0 · T. Droguet

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerSt. TropezQuarter-finalhard court19:10
T. Droguet
T. Droguet
vs
M. Lajal
M. Lajal
2181
Elo
2088
2096
Elo on hard court
2038
9 / 10
Form (last 10)
8 / 10
9
Recent matches
5
Edge
Head-to-head
–
1.70
Odds
2.01

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

T. Droguet
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
M. Lajal
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
9 – 1
Wins – losses
8 – 2
19 – 8
Sets won – lost
16 – 6
2 wins
Current streak
2 wins
46-20 (70%)
2026 record
38-21 (64%)
83-55 (60%)
Record on hard court
128-81 (61%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by T. Droguet and M. Lajal, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

T. Droguet comes in with an Elo of 2181, against 2088 for M. Lajal: a 93-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 58 points in favour of T. Droguet. T. Droguet won 9 of the last ten matches, M. Lajal won 8. T. Droguet has 4 wins in the last five matches. M. Lajal has 4 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, T. Droguet leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings. Bookmakers make T. Droguet the favourite.

The model gave T. Droguet the win at 56 %, with a likely score of 2-0. T. Droguet won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

T. Droguet's last five matches

M. Lajal's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

T. Droguet leads 1 to 0

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, T. Droguet beat K. Poling (6-7 6-4 7-6), then B. Gojo (3-6 6-3 6-4). To reach this round, M. Lajal beat D. Goffin (6-3 6-4), then T. Faurel (6-1 6-2). In 2025, the tournament was won by M. Echargui, who beat D. Added in the final (6-3 6-4).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, T. Droguet wins 56 % (64 of 114), M. Lajal 55 % (60 of 109). In deciding sets, T. Droguet wins 60 % of the time (106 matches), M. Lajal 51 % (99 matches). After losing the first set, T. Droguet turned 30 % of matches around (116 occasions), M. Lajal 28 % (105 occasions). After winning the first set, T. Droguet went on to win 86 % of matches, M. Lajal 82 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about T. Droguet – M. Lajal

Who is the favourite between T. Droguet and M. Lajal?
The match is over: T. Droguet won 2-0. Bookmakers make T. Droguet the favourite, priced at 1.70 against 2.01 for M. Lajal. Pronocast's model had T. Droguet winning at 56 %.
When is the T. Droguet – M. Lajal match?
On Friday, 25 September 2026 at 19:10, at the St. Tropez tournament (Quarter-final, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between T. Droguet and M. Lajal?
Since 2020, T. Droguet leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for T. Droguet – M. Lajal?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: St. Tropez

Tournament page

Other matches on 25 September 2026

All matches on 25 September 2026