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T. Droguet vs D. Prizmic prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
T. DroguetD. Prizmic
41.7 %58.3 %
Model favourite
D. Prizmic
Probability
58 %
Predicted score
0-2
Actual score
2-1 · T. Droguet

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerSt. TropezSemi-finalhard court16:45
T. Droguet
T. Droguet
vs
D. Prizmic
D. Prizmic
2191
Elo
2232
2111
Elo on hard court
2012
9 / 10
Form (last 10)
6 / 10
9
Recent matches
5
Even
Head-to-head
Even
2.25
Odds
1.63

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

T. Droguet
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
D. Prizmic
  1. W
  2. L
  3. L
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
9 – 1
Wins – losses
6 – 4
19 – 8
Sets won – lost
15 – 11
3 wins
Current streak
3 wins
47-20 (70%)
2026 record
34-15 (69%)
84-55 (60%)
Record on hard court
41-31 (57%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by T. Droguet and D. Prizmic, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

D. Prizmic comes in with an Elo of 2232, against 2191 for T. Droguet: a 41-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 100 points in favour of T. Droguet. T. Droguet won 9 of the last ten matches, D. Prizmic won 6. T. Droguet has 4 wins in the last five matches. D. Prizmic has 4 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make D. Prizmic the favourite.

The model gave D. Prizmic the win at 58 %, with a likely score of 2-0. T. Droguet won 2-1: prediction missed.

Recent matches

T. Droguet's last five matches

D. Prizmic's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, T. Droguet beat K. Poling (6-7 6-4 7-6), then B. Gojo (3-6 6-3 6-4), then M. Lajal (6-4 7-6). To reach this round, D. Prizmic beat D. Rincon (6-4 6-3), then D. Jorda Sanchis (6-1 7-6), then D. Glinka (7-6 7-5). In 2025, the tournament was won by M. Echargui, who beat D. Added in the final (6-3 6-4).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, T. Droguet wins 57 % (65 of 115), D. Prizmic 42 % (19 of 45). In deciding sets, T. Droguet wins 60 % of the time (106 matches), D. Prizmic 57 % (60 matches). After losing the first set, T. Droguet turned 30 % of matches around (116 occasions), D. Prizmic 23 % (70 occasions). After winning the first set, T. Droguet went on to win 86 % of matches, D. Prizmic 87 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about T. Droguet – D. Prizmic

Who is the favourite between T. Droguet and D. Prizmic?
The match is over: T. Droguet won 2-1. Bookmakers make D. Prizmic the favourite, priced at 1.63 against 2.25 for T. Droguet. Pronocast's model had D. Prizmic winning at 58 %.
When is the T. Droguet – D. Prizmic match?
On Saturday, 26 September 2026 at 16:45, at the St. Tropez tournament (Semi-final, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between T. Droguet and D. Prizmic?
No meeting between T. Droguet and D. Prizmic appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for T. Droguet – D. Prizmic?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: St. Tropez

Tournament page

Other matches on 26 September 2026

All matches on 26 September 2026