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H. Mayot vs J. De Jong prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
H. MayotJ. De Jong
42.8 %57.2 %
Model favourite
J. De Jong
Probability
57 %
Predicted score
0-2
Actual score
2-1 · H. Mayot

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerSt. TropezQuarter-finalhard court14:10
H. Mayot
H. Mayot
vs
J. De Jong
J. De Jong
2020
Elo
2089
2019
Elo on hard court
1913
8 / 10
Form (last 10)
6 / 10
8
Recent matches
3
–
Head-to-head
Edge
–
Odds
–

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

H. Mayot
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
J. De Jong
  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
8 – 2
Wins – losses
6 – 4
17 – 7
Sets won – lost
14 – 12
2 wins
Current streak
3 wins
21-15 (58%)
2026 record
28-25 (53%)
98-78 (56%)
Record on hard court
58-54 (52%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by H. Mayot and J. De Jong, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

J. De Jong comes in with an Elo of 2089, against 2020 for H. Mayot: a 69-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 107 points in favour of H. Mayot. H. Mayot won 8 of the last ten matches, J. De Jong won 6. H. Mayot has 4 wins in the last five matches. J. De Jong has 4 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, J. De Jong leads 2 to 1 in their direct meetings. No bookmaker odds are available for this match.

The model gave J. De Jong the win at 57 %, with a likely score of 2-0. H. Mayot won 2-1: prediction missed.

Recent matches

H. Mayot's last five matches

J. De Jong's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

J. De Jong leads 2 to 1

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, H. Mayot beat J. Boulais (6-4 2-6 7-6), then E. Butvilas (6-4 6-3). To reach this round, J. De Jong beat R. Bertola (7-6 7-6), then A. Guerrieri (3-6 7-6 7-6). In 2025, the tournament was won by M. Echargui, who beat D. Added in the final (6-3 6-4).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, H. Mayot wins 43 % (40 of 92), J. De Jong 51 % (67 of 132). In deciding sets, H. Mayot wins 51 % of the time (83 matches), J. De Jong 55 % (102 matches). After losing the first set, H. Mayot turned 14 % of matches around (134 occasions), J. De Jong 21 % (145 occasions). After winning the first set, H. Mayot went on to win 89 % of matches, J. De Jong 86 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about H. Mayot – J. De Jong

Who is the favourite between H. Mayot and J. De Jong?
The match is over: H. Mayot won 2-1. No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model had J. De Jong winning at 57 %.
When is the H. Mayot – J. De Jong match?
On Friday, 25 September 2026 at 14:10, at the St. Tropez tournament (Quarter-final, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between H. Mayot and J. De Jong?
Since 2020, J. De Jong leads 2 to 1 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for H. Mayot – J. De Jong?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: St. Tropez

Tournament page

Other matches on 25 September 2026

All matches on 25 September 2026