Pronocast
ProductPredictionsPricing
Create account

T. Droguet vs H. Mayot prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
T. DroguetH. Mayot
69.8 %30.2 %
Model favourite
T. Droguet
Probability
70 %
Predicted score
2-0
Exact score
Actual score
2-0 · T. Droguet

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerSt. TropezFinalhard court14:35
T. Droguet
T. Droguet
vs
H. Mayot
H. Mayot
2207
Elo
2036
2125
Elo on hard court
2031
9 / 10
Form (last 10)
8 / 10
9
Recent matches
7
Even
Head-to-head
Even
–
Odds
–

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

T. Droguet
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
H. Mayot
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
9 – 1
Wins – losses
8 – 2
19 – 8
Sets won – lost
17 – 8
4 wins
Current streak
3 wins
48-20 (71%)
2026 record
22-15 (59%)
85-55 (61%)
Record on hard court
99-78 (56%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by T. Droguet and H. Mayot, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

T. Droguet comes in with an Elo of 2207, against 2036 for H. Mayot: a 170-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 94 points in favour of T. Droguet. T. Droguet won 9 of the last ten matches, H. Mayot won 8. T. Droguet has 4 wins in the last five matches. H. Mayot has 4 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. No bookmaker odds are available for this match.

The model gave T. Droguet the win at 70 %, with a likely score of 2-0. T. Droguet won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

T. Droguet's last five matches

H. Mayot's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, T. Droguet beat K. Poling (6-7 6-4 7-6), then B. Gojo (3-6 6-3 6-4), then M. Lajal (6-4 7-6), then D. Prizmic (6-3 5-7 6-2). To reach this round, H. Mayot beat J. Boulais (6-4 2-6 7-6), then E. Butvilas (6-4 6-3), then J. De Jong (6-3 4-6 7-5). In 2025, the tournament was won by M. Echargui, who beat D. Added in the final (6-3 6-4).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, T. Droguet wins 57 % (65 of 115), H. Mayot 43 % (40 of 92). In deciding sets, T. Droguet wins 61 % of the time (107 matches), H. Mayot 51 % (84 matches). After losing the first set, T. Droguet turned 30 % of matches around (116 occasions), H. Mayot 14 % (134 occasions). After winning the first set, T. Droguet went on to win 86 % of matches, H. Mayot 89 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about T. Droguet – H. Mayot

Who is the favourite between T. Droguet and H. Mayot?
The match is over: T. Droguet won 2-0. No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model had T. Droguet winning at 70 %.
When is the T. Droguet – H. Mayot match?
On Sunday, 27 September 2026 at 14:35, at the St. Tropez tournament (Final, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between T. Droguet and H. Mayot?
No meeting between T. Droguet and H. Mayot appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for T. Droguet – H. Mayot?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: St. Tropez

Tournament page

Other matches on 27 September 2026

All matches on 27 September 2026