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D. Masur vs J. Rodionov prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
D. MasurJ. Rodionov
19.8 %80.2 %
Model favourite
J. Rodionov
Probability
80 %
Predicted score
0-2
Actual score
2-1 · D. Masur

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.5.

Men's ChallengerCassisRound of 16hard court16:20
D. Masur
D. Masur
vs
J. Rodionov
J. Rodionov
1780
Elo
2053
1719
Elo on hard court
1971
6 / 10
Form (last 10)
7 / 10
4
Recent matches
5
–
Head-to-head
Edge
3.95
Odds
1.22

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

D. Masur
  1. L
  2. L
  3. L
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. L
  10. W
J. Rodionov
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
4 – 6
Wins – losses
7 – 3
8 – 14
Sets won – lost
16 – 9
1 win
Current streak
1 win
15-13 (54%)
2026 record
38-22 (63%)
72-68 (51%)
Record on hard court
124-87 (59%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by D. Masur and J. Rodionov, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

J. Rodionov comes in with an Elo of 2053, against 1780 for D. Masur: a 272-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 251 points in favour of J. Rodionov. D. Masur won 6 of the last ten matches, J. Rodionov won 7. D. Masur has 3 wins in the last five matches. J. Rodionov has 4 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, J. Rodionov leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings. Bookmakers make J. Rodionov the favourite.

The model gave J. Rodionov the win at 80 %, with a likely score of 2-0. D. Masur won 2-1: prediction missed.

Recent matches

D. Masur's last five matches

J. Rodionov's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

J. Rodionov leads 1 to 0

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, D. Masur beat D. Added (6-4 6-4). To reach this round, J. Rodionov beat M. Bobichon (7-6 6-1). In 2025, the tournament was won by B. Harris, who beat D. Glinka in the final (3-6 7-5 6-3).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, D. Masur wins 48 % (53 of 111), J. Rodionov 52 % (73 of 140). In deciding sets, D. Masur wins 50 % of the time (84 matches), J. Rodionov 51 % (134 matches). After losing the first set, D. Masur turned 20 % of matches around (106 occasions), J. Rodionov 23 % (166 occasions). After winning the first set, D. Masur went on to win 78 % of matches, J. Rodionov 84 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about D. Masur – J. Rodionov

Who is the favourite between D. Masur and J. Rodionov?
The match is over: D. Masur won 2-1. Bookmakers make J. Rodionov the favourite, priced at 1.22 against 3.95 for D. Masur. Pronocast's model had J. Rodionov winning at 80 %.
When is the D. Masur – J. Rodionov match?
On Wednesday, 9 September 2026 at 16:20, at the Cassis tournament (Round of 16, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between D. Masur and J. Rodionov?
Since 2020, J. Rodionov leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for D. Masur – J. Rodionov?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Cassis

Tournament page

Other matches on 9 September 2026

All matches on 9 September 2026