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D. Medvedev vs C. Wong prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
D. MedvedevC. Wong
77.4 %22.6 %
Model favourite
D. Medvedev
Probability
77 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
2-1 · D. Medvedev

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

ATPHangzhouQuarter-finalhard court14:25
D. Medvedev
D. Medvedev
vs
C. Wong
C. Wong
2296
Elo
2101
2269
Elo on hard court
2049
5 / 10
Form (last 10)
7 / 10
1
Recent matches
2
Even
Head-to-head
Even
1.24
Odds
4.04

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

D. Medvedev
  1. L
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
C. Wong
  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
5 – 5
Wins – losses
7 – 3
14 – 12
Sets won – lost
16 – 10
1 win
Current streak
2 wins
35-16 (69%)
2026 record
39-29 (57%)
187-67 (74%)
Record on hard court
112-80 (58%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by D. Medvedev and C. Wong, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

D. Medvedev comes in with an Elo of 2296, against 2101 for C. Wong: a 195-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 220 points in favour of D. Medvedev. D. Medvedev won 5 of the last ten matches, C. Wong won 7. D. Medvedev has 4 wins in the last five matches. C. Wong has 4 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make D. Medvedev the favourite.

The model gave D. Medvedev the win at 77 %, with a likely score of 2-0. D. Medvedev won 2-1: prediction correct.

Recent matches

D. Medvedev's last five matches

C. Wong's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, D. Medvedev beat V. Royer (7-6 6-3). To reach this round, C. Wong beat Z. Zhang (6-3 6-3), then D. Vallejo (7-6 4-6 6-3). In 2025, the tournament was won by A. Bublik, who beat V. Royer in the final (7-6 7-6).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, D. Medvedev wins 53 % (81 of 153), C. Wong 60 % (61 of 101). In deciding sets, D. Medvedev wins 58 % of the time (103 matches), C. Wong 55 % (88 matches). After losing the first set, D. Medvedev turned 34 % of matches around (119 occasions), C. Wong 23 % (113 occasions). After winning the first set, D. Medvedev went on to win 91 % of matches, C. Wong 84 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about D. Medvedev – C. Wong

Who is the favourite between D. Medvedev and C. Wong?
The match is over: D. Medvedev won 2-1. Bookmakers make D. Medvedev the favourite, priced at 1.24 against 4.04 for C. Wong. Pronocast's model had D. Medvedev winning at 77 %.
When is the D. Medvedev – C. Wong match?
On Sunday, 27 September 2026 at 14:25, at the Hangzhou tournament (Quarter-final, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between D. Medvedev and C. Wong?
No meeting between D. Medvedev and C. Wong appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for D. Medvedev – C. Wong?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Hangzhou

Tournament page

Other matches on 27 September 2026

All matches on 27 September 2026