K. Jacquet vs A. Rublev prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
K. JacquetA. Rublev
27.6 %72.4 %
Model favourite
A. Rublev
Probability
72 %
Predicted score
0-2
Exact score
Actual score
0-2 · A. Rublev

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

ATPHangzhouSemi-finalhard court11:40
2111
Elo
2261
2061
Elo on hard court
2124
6 / 10
Form (last 10)
6 / 10
3
Recent matches
2
Even
Head-to-head
Even
3.17
Odds
1.28

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

K. Jacquet
  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
A. Rublev
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
6 – 4
Wins – losses
6 – 4
14 – 9
Sets won – lost
16 – 12
3 wins
Current streak
2 wins
29-15 (66%)
2026 record
30-17 (64%)
77-47 (62%)
Record on hard court
150-85 (64%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by K. Jacquet and A. Rublev, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

A. Rublev comes in with an Elo of 2261, against 2111 for K. Jacquet: a 150-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 63 points in favour of A. Rublev. K. Jacquet won 6 of the last ten matches, A. Rublev won 6. K. Jacquet has 4 wins in the last five matches. A. Rublev has 3 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make A. Rublev the favourite.

The model gave A. Rublev the win at 72 %, with a likely score of 2-0. A. Rublev won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

K. Jacquet's last five matches

A. Rublev's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, K. Jacquet beat A. Vukic (7-6 3-6 6-3), then T. M. Etcheverry (6-2 6-3), then F. Marozsan (7-6 6-4). To reach this round, A. Rublev beat R. Hijikata (6-3 6-3), then H. Gaston (6-7 7-6 6-1). In 2025, the tournament was won by A. Bublik, who beat V. Royer in the final (7-6 7-6).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, K. Jacquet wins 61 % (48 of 79), A. Rublev 52 % (89 of 171). In deciding sets, K. Jacquet wins 51 % of the time (81 matches), A. Rublev 60 % (112 matches). After losing the first set, K. Jacquet turned 23 % of matches around (87 occasions), A. Rublev 31 % (141 occasions). After winning the first set, K. Jacquet went on to win 83 % of matches, A. Rublev 87 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about K. Jacquet – A. Rublev

Who is the favourite between K. Jacquet and A. Rublev?
The match is over: A. Rublev won 2-0. Bookmakers make A. Rublev the favourite, priced at 1.28 against 3.17 for K. Jacquet. Pronocast's model had A. Rublev winning at 72 %.
When is the K. Jacquet – A. Rublev match?
On Monday, 28 September 2026 at 11:40, at the Hangzhou tournament (Semi-final, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between K. Jacquet and A. Rublev?
No meeting between K. Jacquet and A. Rublev appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for K. Jacquet – A. Rublev?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Hangzhou

Tournament page

Other matches on 28 September 2026

All matches on 28 September 2026