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R. Safiullin vs Y. Bu prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
R. SafiullinY. Bu
49.7 %50.3 %
Model favourite
Y. Bu
Probability
50 %
Predicted score
0-2
Actual score
2-0 · R. Safiullin

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

ATPHangzhouQuarter-finalhard court13:00
R. Safiullin
R. Safiullin
vs
Y. Bu
Y. Bu
2197
Elo
2146
1998
Elo on hard court
2059
6 / 10
Form (last 10)
6 / 10
2
Recent matches
2
Even
Head-to-head
Even
1.88
Odds
1.93

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

R. Safiullin
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. L
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
Y. Bu
  1. W
  2. L
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
6 – 4
Wins – losses
6 – 4
16 – 13
Sets won – lost
15 – 11
2 wins
Current streak
2 wins
33-14 (70%)
2026 record
32-17 (65%)
102-79 (56%)
Record on hard court
115-75 (61%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by R. Safiullin and Y. Bu, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

R. Safiullin comes in with an Elo of 2197, against 2146 for Y. Bu: a 51-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 61 points in favour of Y. Bu. R. Safiullin won 6 of the last ten matches, Y. Bu won 6. R. Safiullin has 2 wins in the last five matches. Y. Bu has 3 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make R. Safiullin the favourite.

The model gave Y. Bu the win at 50 %, with a likely score of 2-0. R. Safiullin won 2-0: prediction missed.

Recent matches

R. Safiullin's last five matches

Y. Bu's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, R. Safiullin beat F. Sun (6-2 6-0), then Q. Halys (5-7 6-3 6-4). To reach this round, Y. Bu beat M. Zheng (6-4 6-3), then K. Majchrzak (7-6 6-7 6-2). In 2025, the tournament was won by A. Bublik, who beat V. Royer in the final (7-6 7-6).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, R. Safiullin wins 48 % (68 of 141), Y. Bu 45 % (50 of 110). In deciding sets, R. Safiullin wins 49 % of the time (117 matches), Y. Bu 48 % (71 matches). After losing the first set, R. Safiullin turned 25 % of matches around (124 occasions), Y. Bu 19 % (94 occasions). After winning the first set, R. Safiullin went on to win 81 % of matches, Y. Bu 82 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about R. Safiullin – Y. Bu

Who is the favourite between R. Safiullin and Y. Bu?
The match is over: R. Safiullin won 2-0. Bookmakers cannot separate the two players: R. Safiullin is priced at 1.88, Y. Bu at 1.93. Pronocast's model had Y. Bu winning at 50 %.
When is the R. Safiullin – Y. Bu match?
On Sunday, 27 September 2026 at 13:00, at the Hangzhou tournament (Quarter-final, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between R. Safiullin and Y. Bu?
No meeting between R. Safiullin and Y. Bu appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for R. Safiullin – Y. Bu?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Hangzhou

Tournament page

Other matches on 27 September 2026

All matches on 27 September 2026