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D. Medvedev vs R. Safiullin prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
D. MedvedevR. Safiullin
66.6 %33.4 %
Model favourite
D. Medvedev
Probability
67 %
Predicted score
2-0
Exact score
Actual score
2-0 · D. Medvedev

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

ATPHangzhouSemi-finalhard court13:40
D. Medvedev
D. Medvedev
vs
R. Safiullin
R. Safiullin
2302
Elo
2212
2276
Elo on hard court
2022
6 / 10
Form (last 10)
6 / 10
2
Recent matches
3
Even
Head-to-head
Even
1.40
Odds
2.61

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

D. Medvedev
  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
R. Safiullin
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
  6. L
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
6 – 4
Wins – losses
6 – 4
16 – 10
Sets won – lost
15 – 11
2 wins
Current streak
3 wins
36-16 (69%)
2026 record
34-14 (71%)
188-67 (74%)
Record on hard court
103-79 (57%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by D. Medvedev and R. Safiullin, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

D. Medvedev comes in with an Elo of 2302, against 2212 for R. Safiullin: a 91-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 254 points in favour of D. Medvedev. D. Medvedev won 6 of the last ten matches, R. Safiullin won 6. D. Medvedev has 4 wins in the last five matches. R. Safiullin has 3 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make D. Medvedev the favourite.

The model gave D. Medvedev the win at 67 %, with a likely score of 2-0. D. Medvedev won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

D. Medvedev's last five matches

R. Safiullin's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, D. Medvedev beat V. Royer (7-6 6-3), then C. Wong (6-3 6-7 6-3). To reach this round, R. Safiullin beat F. Sun (6-2 6-0), then Q. Halys (5-7 6-3 6-4), then Y. Bu (6-3 6-3). In 2025, the tournament was won by A. Bublik, who beat V. Royer in the final (7-6 7-6).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, D. Medvedev wins 53 % (81 of 154), R. Safiullin 48 % (68 of 141). In deciding sets, D. Medvedev wins 59 % of the time (104 matches), R. Safiullin 49 % (117 matches). After losing the first set, D. Medvedev turned 34 % of matches around (119 occasions), R. Safiullin 25 % (124 occasions). After winning the first set, D. Medvedev went on to win 91 % of matches, R. Safiullin 82 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about D. Medvedev – R. Safiullin

Who is the favourite between D. Medvedev and R. Safiullin?
The match is over: D. Medvedev won 2-0. Bookmakers make D. Medvedev the favourite, priced at 1.40 against 2.61 for R. Safiullin. Pronocast's model had D. Medvedev winning at 67 %.
When is the D. Medvedev – R. Safiullin match?
On Monday, 28 September 2026 at 13:40, at the Hangzhou tournament (Semi-final, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between D. Medvedev and R. Safiullin?
No meeting between D. Medvedev and R. Safiullin appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for D. Medvedev – R. Safiullin?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Hangzhou

Tournament page

Other matches on 28 September 2026

All matches on 28 September 2026