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D. Rincon vs L. Djere prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
D. RinconL. Djere
47.3 %52.7 %
Model favourite
L. Djere
Probability
53 %
Predicted score
0-2
Actual score
2-0 · D. Rincon

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerPortoRound of 16hard court12:10
D. Rincon
D. Rincon
vs
L. Djere
L. Djere
1941
Elo
2076
1871
Elo on hard court
1823
5 / 10
Form (last 10)
6 / 10
3
Recent matches
1
Edge
Head-to-head
–
2.13
Odds
1.78

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

D. Rincon
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. L
  9. L
  10. W
L. Djere
  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
5 – 5
Wins – losses
6 – 4
12 – 12
Sets won – lost
13 – 11
1 win
Current streak
2 wins
20-21 (49%)
2026 record
26-15 (63%)
29-34 (46%)
Record on hard court
43-54 (44%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by D. Rincon and L. Djere, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

L. Djere comes in with an Elo of 2076, against 1941 for D. Rincon: a 135-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 47 points in favour of D. Rincon. D. Rincon won 5 of the last ten matches, L. Djere won 6. D. Rincon has 2 wins in the last five matches. L. Djere has 4 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020 they have met 2 times, 1 win(s) each. Bookmakers make L. Djere the favourite.

The model gave L. Djere the win at 53 %, with a likely score of 2-0. D. Rincon won 2-0: prediction missed.

Recent matches

D. Rincon's last five matches

L. Djere's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

Level, 1 win(s) each

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, D. Rincon beat F. Tabacco (6-1 6-1). To reach this round, L. Djere beat M. Mmoh (6-4 6-4). In 2025, the tournament was won by M. Echargui, who beat F. Maestrelli in the final (6-3 6-2).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, D. Rincon wins 49 % (37 of 76), L. Djere 43 % (59 of 138). In deciding sets, D. Rincon wins 59 % of the time (82 matches), L. Djere 46 % (96 matches). After losing the first set, D. Rincon turned 21 % of matches around (123 occasions), L. Djere 20 % (117 occasions). After winning the first set, D. Rincon went on to win 83 % of matches, L. Djere 83 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about D. Rincon – L. Djere

Who is the favourite between D. Rincon and L. Djere?
The match is over: D. Rincon won 2-0. Bookmakers make L. Djere the favourite, priced at 1.78 against 2.13 for D. Rincon. Pronocast's model had L. Djere winning at 53 %.
When is the D. Rincon – L. Djere match?
On Thursday, 1 October 2026 at 12:10, at the Porto tournament (Round of 16, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between D. Rincon and L. Djere?
Since 2020 they have met 2 times, 1 win(s) each.
Where can I see the prediction for D. Rincon – L. Djere?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Porto

Tournament page

Other matches on 1 October 2026

All matches on 1 October 2026