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E. Butvilas vs M. Echargui prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
E. ButvilasM. Echargui
68.4 %31.6 %
Model favourite
E. Butvilas
Probability
68 %
Predicted score
2-0
Exact score
Actual score
2-0 · E. Butvilas

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerPortoRound of 16hard court14:15
E. Butvilas
E. Butvilas
vs
M. Echargui
M. Echargui
1966
Elo
1881
1965
Elo on hard court
1857
5 / 10
Form (last 10)
6 / 10
4
Recent matches
5
–
Head-to-head
Edge
1.38
Odds
2.81

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

E. Butvilas
  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
M. Echargui
  1. L
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
5 – 5
Wins – losses
6 – 4
12 – 11
Sets won – lost
15 – 10
1 win
Current streak
1 win
33-26 (56%)
2026 record
17-31 (35%)
61-44 (58%)
Record on hard court
44-47 (48%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by E. Butvilas and M. Echargui, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

E. Butvilas comes in with an Elo of 1966, against 1881 for M. Echargui: a 85-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 108 points in favour of E. Butvilas. E. Butvilas won 5 of the last ten matches, M. Echargui won 6. E. Butvilas has 2 wins in the last five matches. M. Echargui has 4 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, M. Echargui leads 2 to 1 in their direct meetings. Bookmakers make E. Butvilas the favourite.

The model gave E. Butvilas the win at 68 %, with a likely score of 2-0. E. Butvilas won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

E. Butvilas's last five matches

M. Echargui's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

M. Echargui leads 2 to 1

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, E. Butvilas beat M. Geerts (6-4 6-1). To reach this round, M. Echargui beat D. Dzumhur (7-5 6-0). In 2025, the tournament was won by M. Echargui, who beat F. Maestrelli in the final (6-3 6-2). M. Echargui is therefore defending the title.

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, E. Butvilas wins 55 % (35 of 64), M. Echargui 51 % (40 of 78). In deciding sets, E. Butvilas wins 44 % of the time (77 matches), M. Echargui 41 % (81 matches). After losing the first set, E. Butvilas turned 20 % of matches around (79 occasions), M. Echargui 15 % (102 occasions). After winning the first set, E. Butvilas went on to win 77 % of matches, M. Echargui 77 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about E. Butvilas – M. Echargui

Who is the favourite between E. Butvilas and M. Echargui?
The match is over: E. Butvilas won 2-0. Bookmakers make E. Butvilas the favourite, priced at 1.38 against 2.81 for M. Echargui. Pronocast's model had E. Butvilas winning at 68 %.
When is the E. Butvilas – M. Echargui match?
On Thursday, 1 October 2026 at 14:15, at the Porto tournament (Round of 16, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between E. Butvilas and M. Echargui?
Since 2020, M. Echargui leads 2 to 1 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for E. Butvilas – M. Echargui?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Porto

Tournament page

Other matches on 1 October 2026

All matches on 1 October 2026