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E. Kalieva vs K. Day prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
E. KalievaK. Day
38.2 %61.8 %
Model favourite
K. Day
Probability
62 %
Predicted score
0-2
Exact score
Actual score
0-2 · K. Day

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

WTAGuadalajaraRound of 32hard court20:10
E. Kalieva
E. Kalieva
vs
K. Day
K. Day
2005
Elo
2076
1965
Elo on hard court
1986
6 / 10
Form (last 10)
5 / 10
0
Recent matches
2
Even
Head-to-head
Even
–
Odds
–

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

E. Kalieva
  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. L
K. Day
  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. L
  9. W
  10. L
6 – 4
Wins – losses
5 – 5
13 – 13
Sets won – lost
12 – 12
1 loss
Current streak
1 loss
24-17 (59%)
2026 record
15-13 (54%)
28-35 (44%)
Record on hard court
29-37 (44%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by E. Kalieva and K. Day, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

K. Day comes in with an Elo of 2076, against 2005 for E. Kalieva: a 71-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 21 points in favour of K. Day. E. Kalieva won 6 of the last ten matches, K. Day won 5. E. Kalieva has 3 wins in the last five matches. K. Day has 2 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. No bookmaker odds are available for this match.

The model gave K. Day the win at 62 %, with a likely score of 2-0. K. Day won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

E. Kalieva's last five matches

K. Day's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

This is E. Kalieva's first match of the tournament. This is K. Day's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by I. Jovic, who beat E. Arango in the final (6-4 6-1).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, E. Kalieva wins 54 % (15 of 28), K. Day 36 % (9 of 25). In deciding sets, E. Kalieva wins 54 % of the time (39 matches), K. Day 37 % (38 matches). After losing the first set, E. Kalieva turned 20 % of matches around (65 occasions), K. Day 11 % (46 occasions). After winning the first set, E. Kalieva went on to win 81 % of matches, K. Day 75 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about E. Kalieva – K. Day

Who is the favourite between E. Kalieva and K. Day?
The match is over: K. Day won 2-0. No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model had K. Day winning at 62 %.
When is the E. Kalieva – K. Day match?
On Monday, 14 September 2026 at 20:10, at the Guadalajara tournament (Round of 32, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between E. Kalieva and K. Day?
No meeting between E. Kalieva and K. Day appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for E. Kalieva – K. Day?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Guadalajara

Tournament page

Other matches on 14 September 2026

All matches on 14 September 2026