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L. Fernandez vs M. Chwalinska prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
L. FernandezM. Chwalinska
57.3 %42.7 %
Model favourite
L. Fernandez
Probability
57 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
2-1 · L. Fernandez

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

WTASingaporeSemi-finalhard court12:10
L. Fernandez
L. Fernandez
vs
M. Chwalinska
M. Chwalinska
2233
Elo
2239
2176
Elo on hard court
2025
7 / 10
Form (last 10)
4 / 10
3
Recent matches
3
Even
Head-to-head
Even
1.66
Odds
2.23

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

L. Fernandez
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
M. Chwalinska
  1. L
  2. L
  3. L
  4. W
  5. L
  6. L
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
7 – 3
Wins – losses
4 – 6
16 – 6
Sets won – lost
10 – 12
3 wins
Current streak
3 wins
20-23 (47%)
2026 record
31-13 (70%)
110-76 (59%)
Record on hard court
24-16 (60%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by L. Fernandez and M. Chwalinska, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

Both players come in with almost the same Elo (2233 against 2239): nothing separates them in the model's rating. On hard court, the gap is 151 points in favour of L. Fernandez. L. Fernandez won 7 of the last ten matches, M. Chwalinska won 4. L. Fernandez has 4 wins in the last five matches. M. Chwalinska has 3 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make L. Fernandez the favourite.

The model gave L. Fernandez the win at 57 %, with a likely score of 2-0. L. Fernandez won 2-1: prediction correct.

Recent matches

L. Fernandez's last five matches

M. Chwalinska's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, L. Fernandez beat K. Okamura (6-2 6-3), then A. Parks (6-4 6-3), then M. Andreeva (6-2 7-5). To reach this round, M. Chwalinska beat R. Sramkova (6-4 6-2), then O. Oliynykova (6-0 6-1), then E. Mertens (6-2 6-2). In 2025, the tournament was won by E. Mertens, who beat A. Li in the final (6-1 6-4).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, L. Fernandez wins 50 % (39 of 78), M. Chwalinska 53 % (16 of 30). In deciding sets, L. Fernandez wins 52 % of the time (87 matches), M. Chwalinska 53 % (45 matches). After losing the first set, L. Fernandez turned 17 % of matches around (124 occasions), M. Chwalinska 24 % (46 occasions). After winning the first set, L. Fernandez went on to win 88 % of matches, M. Chwalinska 84 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about L. Fernandez – M. Chwalinska

Who is the favourite between L. Fernandez and M. Chwalinska?
The match is over: L. Fernandez won 2-1. Bookmakers make L. Fernandez the favourite, priced at 1.66 against 2.23 for M. Chwalinska. Pronocast's model had L. Fernandez winning at 57 %.
When is the L. Fernandez – M. Chwalinska match?
On Saturday, 26 September 2026 at 12:10, at the Singapore tournament (Semi-final, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between L. Fernandez and M. Chwalinska?
No meeting between L. Fernandez and M. Chwalinska appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for L. Fernandez – M. Chwalinska?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Singapore

Tournament page

Other matches on 26 September 2026

All matches on 26 September 2026