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M. Sakkari vs T. Gibson prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
M. SakkariT. Gibson
59.5 %40.5 %
Model favourite
M. Sakkari
Probability
59 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
1-2 · T. Gibson

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

WTASingaporeQuarter-finalhard court14:40
M. Sakkari
M. Sakkari
vs
T. Gibson
T. Gibson
2224
Elo
2111
2161
Elo on hard court
2108
6 / 10
Form (last 10)
4 / 10
2
Recent matches
2
Even
Head-to-head
Even
–
Odds
–

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

M. Sakkari
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
T. Gibson
  1. L
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. L
  7. L
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
6 – 4
Wins – losses
4 – 6
14 – 10
Sets won – lost
12 – 13
2 wins
Current streak
2 wins
22-18 (55%)
2026 record
21-22 (49%)
112-77 (59%)
Record on hard court
29-28 (51%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by M. Sakkari and T. Gibson, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

M. Sakkari comes in with an Elo of 2224, against 2111 for T. Gibson: a 113-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 53 points in favour of M. Sakkari. M. Sakkari won 6 of the last ten matches, T. Gibson won 4. M. Sakkari has 3 wins in the last five matches. T. Gibson has 2 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. No bookmaker odds are available for this match.

The model gave M. Sakkari the win at 59 %, with a likely score of 2-0. T. Gibson won 2-1: prediction missed.

Recent matches

M. Sakkari's last five matches

T. Gibson's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, M. Sakkari beat L. Fruhvirtova (6-4 6-1), then N. Hibino (7-5 6-1). To reach this round, T. Gibson beat F. Ferro (6-3 6-3), then V. Morvayova (7-6 7-6). In 2025, the tournament was won by E. Mertens, who beat A. Li in the final (6-1 6-4).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, M. Sakkari wins 45 % (31 of 69), T. Gibson 59 % (17 of 29). In deciding sets, M. Sakkari wins 51 % of the time (80 matches), T. Gibson 43 % (42 matches). After losing the first set, M. Sakkari turned 18 % of matches around (116 occasions), T. Gibson 13 % (39 occasions). After winning the first set, M. Sakkari went on to win 86 % of matches, T. Gibson 73 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about M. Sakkari – T. Gibson

Who is the favourite between M. Sakkari and T. Gibson?
The match is over: T. Gibson won 2-1. No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model had M. Sakkari winning at 59 %.
When is the M. Sakkari – T. Gibson match?
On Friday, 25 September 2026 at 14:40, at the Singapore tournament (Quarter-final, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between M. Sakkari and T. Gibson?
No meeting between M. Sakkari and T. Gibson appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for M. Sakkari – T. Gibson?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Singapore

Tournament page

Other matches on 25 September 2026

All matches on 25 September 2026