M. Andreeva vs L. Fernandez prediction
The prediction, computed before the match
Missed prediction- Model favourite
- M. Andreeva
- Probability
- 77 %
- Predicted score
- 2-0
- Actual score
- 0-2 · L. Fernandez
Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.
- 2457
- Elo
- 2205
- 2323
- Elo on hard court
- 2147
- 7 / 10
- Form (last 10)
- 6 / 10
- 1
- Recent matches
- 2
- Even
- Head-to-head
- Even
- 1.27
- Odds
- 3.80
Form and record before the match
Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent
- L
- W
- W
- L
- W
- W
- W
- W
- L
- W
- L
- W
- W
- L
- L
- W
- W
- L
- W
- W
- 7 – 3
- Wins – losses
- 6 – 4
- 16 – 7
- Sets won – lost
- 14 – 8
- 1 win
- Current streak
- 2 wins
- 45-14 (76%)
- 2026 record
- 19-23 (45%)
- 72-32 (69%)
- Record on hard court
- 109-76 (59%)
ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by M. Andreeva and L. Fernandez, before this match.
What the numbers said before the match
M. Andreeva comes in with an Elo of 2457, against 2205 for L. Fernandez: a 251-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 176 points in favour of M. Andreeva. M. Andreeva won 7 of the last ten matches, L. Fernandez won 6. M. Andreeva has 4 wins in the last five matches. L. Fernandez has 4 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020 they have met 4 times, 2 win(s) each. Bookmakers make M. Andreeva the favourite.
The model gave M. Andreeva the win at 77 %, with a likely score of 2-0. L. Fernandez won 2-0: prediction missed.
Recent matches
M. Andreeva's last five matches
- VA. SasnovichSingapore 2026 · Round of 16 · 23 September 20266-2 6-2
- DC. GauffUS Open 2026 · Quarter-final · 9 September 20266-2 6-7 2-6
- VA. PotapovaUS Open 2026 · Round of 16 · 7 September 20265-7 6-4 6-3
- VN. BartunkovaUS Open 2026 · Round of 32 · 5 September 20266-2 7-6
- VE. LysUS Open 2026 · Round of 64 · 3 September 20266-0 6-2
L. Fernandez's last five matches
- VA. ParksSingapore 2026 · Round of 16 · 23 September 20266-4 6-3
- VK. OkamuraSingapore 2026 · Round of 32 · 21 September 20266-2 6-3
- DJ. PegulaUS Open 2026 · Round of 32 · 4 September 20266-1 4-6 3-6
- VM. SawangkaewUS Open 2026 · Round of 64 · 2 September 20266-4 6-1
- VS. ZhangUS Open 2026 · Round of 128 · 30 August 20266-3 6-2
Head-to-head since 2020
Level, 2 win(s) each- DL. FernandezToronto 2026 · Round of 32 · 7 August 20261-6 4-6
- VL. FernandezMadrid 2026 · Quarter-final · 28 April 20267-6 6-3
- DL. FernandezWTA Hong Kong 2023 · Round of 16 · 12 October 20236-3 1-6 3-6
- VL. FernandezWTA Madrid 2023 · Round of 128 · 26 April 20236-3 6-4
Road through the tournament
To reach this round, M. Andreeva beat A. Sasnovich (6-2 6-2). To reach this round, L. Fernandez beat K. Okamura (6-2 6-3), then A. Parks (6-4 6-3). In 2025, the tournament was won by E. Mertens, who beat A. Li in the final (6-1 6-4).
Key numbers
In tie-breaks, M. Andreeva wins 58 % (25 of 43), L. Fernandez 50 % (39 of 78). In deciding sets, M. Andreeva wins 55 % of the time (58 matches), L. Fernandez 52 % (87 matches). After losing the first set, M. Andreeva turned 37 % of matches around (59 occasions), L. Fernandez 17 % (124 occasions). After winning the first set, M. Andreeva went on to win 85 % of matches, L. Fernandez 88 %.
Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.
Frequently asked questions about M. Andreeva – L. Fernandez
- Who is the favourite between M. Andreeva and L. Fernandez?
- The match is over: L. Fernandez won 2-0. Bookmakers make M. Andreeva the favourite, priced at 1.27 against 3.80 for L. Fernandez. Pronocast's model had M. Andreeva winning at 77 %.
- When is the M. Andreeva – L. Fernandez match?
- On Friday, 25 September 2026 at 12:45, at the Singapore tournament (Quarter-final, hard court).
- What is the head-to-head between M. Andreeva and L. Fernandez?
- Since 2020 they have met 4 times, 2 win(s) each.
- Where can I see the prediction for M. Andreeva – L. Fernandez?
- The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.
How the model computes its predictions
Same tournament: Singapore
Tournament page

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