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E. Rybakina vs A. Charaeva prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
E. RybakinaA. Charaeva
94.4 %5.6 %
Model favourite
E. Rybakina
Probability
94 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
1-2 · A. Charaeva

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

WTABeijingRound of 64hard court14:40
E. Rybakina
E. Rybakina
vs
A. Charaeva
A. Charaeva
2605
Elo
2111
2591
Elo on hard court
1934
10 / 10
Form (last 10)
5 / 10
0
Recent matches
3
Even
Head-to-head
Even
1.04
Odds
12.22

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

E. Rybakina
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
A. Charaeva
  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
10 – 0
Wins – losses
5 – 5
20 – 3
Sets won – lost
12 – 13
10 wins
Current streak
1 win
48-11 (81%)
2026 record
34-23 (60%)
172-56 (75%)
Record on hard court
20-20 (50%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by E. Rybakina and A. Charaeva, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

E. Rybakina comes in with an Elo of 2605, against 2111 for A. Charaeva: a 494-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 657 points in favour of E. Rybakina. E. Rybakina won 10 of the last ten matches, A. Charaeva won 5. E. Rybakina has 5 wins in the last five matches. A. Charaeva has 3 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make E. Rybakina the favourite.

The model gave E. Rybakina the win at 94 %, with a likely score of 2-0. A. Charaeva won 2-1: prediction missed.

Recent matches

E. Rybakina's last five matches

A. Charaeva's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

This is E. Rybakina's first match of the tournament. To reach this round, A. Charaeva beat Y. Starodubtseva (5-7 7-5 6-2). In 2025, the tournament was won by A. Anisimova, who beat L. Noskova in the final (6-0 2-6 6-2).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, E. Rybakina wins 56 % (62 of 111), A. Charaeva 48 % (14 of 29). In deciding sets, E. Rybakina wins 60 % of the time (123 matches), A. Charaeva 58 % (33 matches). After losing the first set, E. Rybakina turned 39 % of matches around (102 occasions), A. Charaeva 28 % (50 occasions). After winning the first set, E. Rybakina went on to win 89 % of matches, A. Charaeva 87 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about E. Rybakina – A. Charaeva

Who is the favourite between E. Rybakina and A. Charaeva?
The match is over: A. Charaeva won 2-1. Bookmakers make E. Rybakina the favourite, priced at 1.04 against 12.22 for A. Charaeva. Pronocast's model had E. Rybakina winning at 94 %.
When is the E. Rybakina – A. Charaeva match?
On Saturday, 3 October 2026 at 14:40, at the Beijing tournament (Round of 64, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between E. Rybakina and A. Charaeva?
No meeting between E. Rybakina and A. Charaeva appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for E. Rybakina – A. Charaeva?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Beijing

Tournament page

Other matches on 3 October 2026

All matches on 3 October 2026