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F. Balshaw vs N. Budkov Kjaer prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
F. BalshawN. Budkov Kjaer
38.7 %61.3 %
Model favourite
N. Budkov Kjaer
Probability
61 %
Predicted score
0-2
Actual score
2-1 · F. Balshaw

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerMouilleron-Le-CaptifRound of 16hard court14:35
F. Balshaw
F. Balshaw
vs
N. Budkov Kjaer
N. Budkov Kjaer
2024
Elo
1974
1905
Elo on hard court
1934
8 / 10
Form (last 10)
6 / 10
1
Recent matches
3
–
Head-to-head
Edge
2.34
Odds
1.53

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

F. Balshaw
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
N. Budkov Kjaer
  1. W
  2. L
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
8 – 2
Wins – losses
6 – 4
16 – 8
Sets won – lost
14 – 11
1 win
Current streak
1 win
27-13 (68%)
2026 record
28-29 (49%)
15-9 (63%)
Record on hard court
39-25 (61%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by F. Balshaw and N. Budkov Kjaer, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

F. Balshaw comes in with an Elo of 2024, against 1974 for N. Budkov Kjaer: a 50-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 29 points in favour of N. Budkov Kjaer. F. Balshaw won 8 of the last ten matches, N. Budkov Kjaer won 6. F. Balshaw has 4 wins in the last five matches. N. Budkov Kjaer has 3 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, N. Budkov Kjaer leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings. Bookmakers make N. Budkov Kjaer the favourite.

The model gave N. Budkov Kjaer the win at 61 %, with a likely score of 2-0. F. Balshaw won 2-1: prediction missed.

Recent matches

F. Balshaw's last five matches

N. Budkov Kjaer's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

N. Budkov Kjaer leads 1 to 0

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, F. Balshaw beat B. Harris (7-6 3-6 7-6). To reach this round, N. Budkov Kjaer beat Y. Ghazouani Durand (6-3 6-2). In 2025, the tournament was won by N. Budkov Kjaer, who beat P. Kypson in the final (6-0 6-3). N. Budkov Kjaer is therefore defending the title.

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, F. Balshaw wins 62 % (13 of 21), N. Budkov Kjaer 60 % (30 of 50). In deciding sets, F. Balshaw wins 65 % of the time (17 matches), N. Budkov Kjaer 66 % (47 matches). After losing the first set, F. Balshaw turned 35 % of matches around (20 occasions), N. Budkov Kjaer 26 % (68 occasions). After winning the first set, F. Balshaw went on to win 91 % of matches, N. Budkov Kjaer 83 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about F. Balshaw – N. Budkov Kjaer

Who is the favourite between F. Balshaw and N. Budkov Kjaer?
The match is over: F. Balshaw won 2-1. Bookmakers make N. Budkov Kjaer the favourite, priced at 1.53 against 2.34 for F. Balshaw. Pronocast's model had N. Budkov Kjaer winning at 61 %.
When is the F. Balshaw – N. Budkov Kjaer match?
On Thursday, 1 October 2026 at 14:35, at the Mouilleron-Le-Captif tournament (Round of 16, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between F. Balshaw and N. Budkov Kjaer?
Since 2020, N. Budkov Kjaer leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for F. Balshaw – N. Budkov Kjaer?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Mouilleron-Le-Captif

Tournament page

Other matches on 1 October 2026

All matches on 1 October 2026