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F. Meligeni Alves vs C. M. Zarate prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
F. Meligeni AlvesC. M. Zarate
68.0 %32.0 %
Model favourite
F. Meligeni Alves
Probability
68 %
Predicted score
2-0
Exact score
Actual score
2-0 · F. Meligeni Alves

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerCuritibaRound of 32clay15:10
F. Meligeni Alves
F. Meligeni Alves
vs
CM
C. M. Zarate
1934
Elo
1823
1979
Elo on clay
1801
6 / 10
Form (last 10)
8 / 10
0
Recent matches
1
Even
Head-to-head
Even
–
Odds
–

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

F. Meligeni Alves
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. L
  9. L
  10. L
C. M. Zarate
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. L
  10. L
5 – 5
Wins – losses
4 – 6
11 – 11
Sets won – lost
10 – 12
4 losses
Current streak
3 losses
11-14 (44%)
2026 record
6-10 (38%)
126-93 (58%)
Record on clay
16-18 (47%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by F. Meligeni Alves and C. M. Zarate, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

F. Meligeni Alves comes in with an Elo of 1934, against 1823 for C. M. Zarate: a 111-point edge. On clay, the gap is 178 points in favour of F. Meligeni Alves. F. Meligeni Alves won 6 of the last ten matches, C. M. Zarate won 8. F. Meligeni Alves has one win in the last five matches. C. M. Zarate has 2 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. No bookmaker odds are available for this match.

The model gave F. Meligeni Alves the win at 68 %, with a likely score of 2-0. F. Meligeni Alves won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

F. Meligeni Alves's last five matches

C. M. Zarate's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

This is F. Meligeni Alves's first match of the tournament. This is C. M. Zarate's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by D. Vallejo, who beat P. Boscardin Dias in the final (6-3 7-5).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, F. Meligeni Alves wins 59 % (65 of 111), C. M. Zarate 73 % (8 of 11). In deciding sets, F. Meligeni Alves wins 51 % of the time (93 matches), C. M. Zarate 55 % (11 matches). After losing the first set, F. Meligeni Alves turned 22 % of matches around (114 occasions), C. M. Zarate 20 % (20 occasions). After winning the first set, F. Meligeni Alves went on to win 79 % of matches, C. M. Zarate 81 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about F. Meligeni Alves – C. M. Zarate

Who is the favourite between F. Meligeni Alves and C. M. Zarate?
The match is over: F. Meligeni Alves won 2-0. No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model had F. Meligeni Alves winning at 68 %.
When is the F. Meligeni Alves – C. M. Zarate match?
On Tuesday, 29 September 2026 at 15:10, at the Curitiba tournament (Round of 32, clay).
What is the head-to-head between F. Meligeni Alves and C. M. Zarate?
No meeting between F. Meligeni Alves and C. M. Zarate appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for F. Meligeni Alves – C. M. Zarate?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Curitiba

Tournament page

Other matches on 29 September 2026

All matches on 29 September 2026