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G. Dimitrov vs E. Butvilas prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
G. DimitrovE. Butvilas
69.2 %30.8 %
Model favourite
G. Dimitrov
Probability
69 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
0-2 · E. Butvilas

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerSt. TropezRound of 32hard court18:35
G. Dimitrov
G. Dimitrov
vs
E. Butvilas
E. Butvilas
2130
Elo
1944
2111
Elo on hard court
1937
5 / 10
Form (last 10)
6 / 10
2
Recent matches
4
Even
Head-to-head
Even
1.38
Odds
2.81

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

G. Dimitrov
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. L
E. Butvilas
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. L
5 – 5
Wins – losses
6 – 4
16 – 16
Sets won – lost
14 – 11
1 loss
Current streak
2 losses
13-18 (42%)
2026 record
31-25 (55%)
99-57 (63%)
Record on hard court
59-43 (58%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by G. Dimitrov and E. Butvilas, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

G. Dimitrov comes in with an Elo of 2130, against 1944 for E. Butvilas: a 186-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 173 points in favour of G. Dimitrov. G. Dimitrov won 5 of the last ten matches, E. Butvilas won 6. G. Dimitrov has 3 wins in the last five matches. E. Butvilas has 2 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make G. Dimitrov the favourite.

The model gave G. Dimitrov the win at 69 %, with a likely score of 2-0. E. Butvilas won 2-0: prediction missed.

Recent matches

G. Dimitrov's last five matches

E. Butvilas's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

This is G. Dimitrov's first match of the tournament. This is E. Butvilas's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by M. Echargui, who beat D. Added in the final (6-3 6-4).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, G. Dimitrov wins 54 % (68 of 126), E. Butvilas 54 % (34 of 63). In deciding sets, G. Dimitrov wins 62 % of the time (73 matches), E. Butvilas 44 % (77 matches). After losing the first set, G. Dimitrov turned 24 % of matches around (98 occasions), E. Butvilas 21 % (78 occasions). After winning the first set, G. Dimitrov went on to win 90 % of matches, E. Butvilas 77 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about G. Dimitrov – E. Butvilas

Who is the favourite between G. Dimitrov and E. Butvilas?
The match is over: E. Butvilas won 2-0. Bookmakers make G. Dimitrov the favourite, priced at 1.38 against 2.81 for E. Butvilas. Pronocast's model had G. Dimitrov winning at 69 %.
When is the G. Dimitrov – E. Butvilas match?
On Tuesday, 22 September 2026 at 18:35, at the St. Tropez tournament (Round of 32, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between G. Dimitrov and E. Butvilas?
No meeting between G. Dimitrov and E. Butvilas appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for G. Dimitrov – E. Butvilas?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: St. Tropez

Tournament page

Other matches on 22 September 2026

All matches on 22 September 2026