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G. Heide vs H. Casanova prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
G. HeideH. Casanova
81.6 %18.4 %
Model favourite
G. Heide
Probability
82 %
Predicted score
2-0
Exact score
Actual score
2-0 · G. Heide

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerCuritibaRound of 32clay17:40
G. Heide
G. Heide
vs
H. Casanova
H. Casanova
2042
Elo
1829
2076
Elo on clay
1831
6 / 10
Form (last 10)
6 / 10
1
Recent matches
1
Edge
Head-to-head
–
1.13
Odds
4.57

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

G. Heide
  1. L
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
H. Casanova
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. L
  10. L
6 – 4
Wins – losses
6 – 4
14 – 9
Sets won – lost
13 – 8
1 win
Current streak
3 losses
34-20 (63%)
2026 record
16-10 (62%)
92-66 (58%)
Record on clay
93-85 (52%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by G. Heide and H. Casanova, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

G. Heide comes in with an Elo of 2042, against 1829 for H. Casanova: a 213-point edge. On clay, the gap is 245 points in favour of G. Heide. G. Heide won 6 of the last ten matches, H. Casanova won 6. G. Heide has 3 wins in the last five matches. H. Casanova has 2 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, H. Casanova leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings. Bookmakers make G. Heide the favourite.

The model gave G. Heide the win at 82 %, with a likely score of 2-0. G. Heide won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

G. Heide's last five matches

H. Casanova's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

H. Casanova leads 1 to 0

Road through the tournament

This is G. Heide's first match of the tournament. This is H. Casanova's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by D. Vallejo, who beat P. Boscardin Dias in the final (6-3 7-5).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, G. Heide wins 57 % (35 of 61), H. Casanova 50 % (27 of 54). In deciding sets, G. Heide wins 43 % of the time (60 matches), H. Casanova 54 % (52 matches). After losing the first set, G. Heide turned 13 % of matches around (76 occasions), H. Casanova 18 % (92 occasions). After winning the first set, G. Heide went on to win 84 % of matches, H. Casanova 88 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about G. Heide – H. Casanova

Who is the favourite between G. Heide and H. Casanova?
The match is over: G. Heide won 2-0. Bookmakers make G. Heide the favourite, priced at 1.13 against 4.57 for H. Casanova. Pronocast's model had G. Heide winning at 82 %.
When is the G. Heide – H. Casanova match?
On Tuesday, 29 September 2026 at 17:40, at the Curitiba tournament (Round of 32, clay).
What is the head-to-head between G. Heide and H. Casanova?
Since 2020, H. Casanova leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for G. Heide – H. Casanova?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Curitiba

Tournament page

Other matches on 29 September 2026

All matches on 29 September 2026