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H. Bernet vs D. Stricker prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
H. BernetD. Stricker
40.3 %59.7 %
Model favourite
D. Stricker
Probability
60 %
Predicted score
0-2
Actual score
2-0 · H. Bernet

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerMouilleron-Le-CaptifRound of 16hard court13:00
H. Bernet
H. Bernet
vs
D. Stricker
D. Stricker
1959
Elo
2014
1884
Elo on hard court
1977
8 / 10
Form (last 10)
7 / 10
6
Recent matches
2
Even
Head-to-head
Even
2.28
Odds
1.53

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

H. Bernet
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W
  6. L
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
D. Stricker
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. L
  10. W
5 – 5
Wins – losses
7 – 3
15 – 12
Sets won – lost
15 – 8
1 win
Current streak
1 win
9-15 (38%)
2026 record
20-10 (67%)
4-9 (31%)
Record on hard court
60-43 (58%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by H. Bernet and D. Stricker, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

D. Stricker comes in with an Elo of 2014, against 1959 for H. Bernet: a 55-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 93 points in favour of D. Stricker. H. Bernet won 8 of the last ten matches, D. Stricker won 7. H. Bernet has 2 wins in the last five matches. D. Stricker has 3 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make D. Stricker the favourite.

The model gave D. Stricker the win at 60 %, with a likely score of 2-0. H. Bernet won 2-0: prediction missed.

Recent matches

H. Bernet's last five matches

D. Stricker's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, H. Bernet beat D. Glinka (6-4 6-4). To reach this round, D. Stricker beat L. Broady (6-4 3-6 6-1). In 2025, the tournament was won by N. Budkov Kjaer, who beat P. Kypson in the final (6-0 6-3).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, H. Bernet wins 50 % (7 of 14), D. Stricker 52 % (51 of 98). In deciding sets, H. Bernet wins 28 % of the time (18 matches), D. Stricker 59 % (68 matches). After losing the first set, H. Bernet turned 18 % of matches around (22 occasions), D. Stricker 25 % (101 occasions). After winning the first set, H. Bernet went on to win 67 % of matches, D. Stricker 85 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about H. Bernet – D. Stricker

Who is the favourite between H. Bernet and D. Stricker?
The match is over: H. Bernet won 2-0. Bookmakers make D. Stricker the favourite, priced at 1.53 against 2.28 for H. Bernet. Pronocast's model had D. Stricker winning at 60 %.
When is the H. Bernet – D. Stricker match?
On Thursday, 1 October 2026 at 13:00, at the Mouilleron-Le-Captif tournament (Round of 16, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between H. Bernet and D. Stricker?
No meeting between H. Bernet and D. Stricker appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for H. Bernet – D. Stricker?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Mouilleron-Le-Captif

Tournament page

Other matches on 1 October 2026

All matches on 1 October 2026